UEFA Champions League 25/26, Playoff round · 25 Feb 2026

Paris Saint-Germain 2–2 AS Monaco

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 17% · Chances everywhere: 3.5 xG · Standout: Jordan Teze scored 87.7

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 2.4 – 0.8
Actual xG: 2.2 – 1.3
Goals: 2 – 2

Footybot made Paris Saint-Germain favourites at 73%.

Paris Saint-Germain deserved more from the draw, creating 2.2 xG to 1.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Maghnes Akliouche, 82.6 in 74′.

Well above their usual level: Caio Henrique +31.2, Maghnes Akliouche +28.4, Aladji Bamba +12.7.

Well below it: Bradley Barcola −13.0, Désiré Doué −11.6, Denis Zakaria −10.4.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Paris Saint-Germain

21 Feb 2026	W 3–0	v Metz Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026	W 3–2	at AS Monaco Champions League
13 Feb 2026	L 1–3	at Stade Rennais Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026	W 5–0	v Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026	W 2–1	at RC Strasbourg Ligue 1

AS Monaco

21 Feb 2026	W 3–2	at RC Lens Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026	L 2–3	v Paris Saint-Germain Champions League
13 Feb 2026	W 3–1	v Nantes Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026	D 0–0	at Nice Ligue 1
5 Feb 2026	L 1–3	at RC Strasbourg Coupe de France

Head to head

17 Feb 2026	AS Monaco 2–3 Paris Saint-Germain Champions League
29 Nov 2025	AS Monaco 1–0 Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nuno Mendes Defender	80	0	0	0.04	74.0	+2.4
Willian Pacho Defender	90	0	0	–	70.6	+10.4
Vitinha Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	65.7	+2.8
Désiré Doué Forward	88	0	1	0.19	64.3	−11.6
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Forward	90	1	0	0.38	63.5	+3.6
Marquinhos Defender	90	1	0	0.80	60.6	+2.3
Kang-in Lee Midfielder	21	0	0	0.03	56.0	–
Lucas Hernández Defender	10	0	0	–	55.0	–
João Neves Midfielder	90	0	0	0.42	53.9	−2.0
Bradley Barcola Forward	69	0	0	0.16	49.6	−13.0
Warren Zaïre-Emery Midfielder	87	0	0	0.03	49.1	−6.9
Achraf Hakimi Defender	90	0	0	0.08	48.4	−6.2
Matvey Safonov Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	41.9	−5.8
Dro Fernández Midfielder	8	0	0	–	39.1	–
Gonçalo Ramos Forward	2	0	0	–	38.1	–

AS Monaco

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jordan Teze Midfielder	28	1	0	0.30	87.7	–
Maghnes Akliouche Midfielder	74	1	0	0.22	82.6	+28.4
Caio Henrique Defender	90	0	0	–	78.1	+31.2
Aladji Bamba Midfielder	62	0	0	–	62.0	+12.7
Lamine Camara Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	61.9	+7.2
Vanderson Defender	89	0	0	–	58.0	+0.9
Wout Faes Defender	90	0	0	0.21	55.5	+10.0
Philipp Köhn Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.1	+4.2
Thilo Kehrer Defender	90	0	0	0.20	49.8	−1.6
Mamadou Coulibaly Midfielder	58	0	1	0.31	45.5	−5.8
Folarin Balogun Forward	74	0	0	0.05	43.7	−5.4
Simon Adingra Midfielder	16	0	0	–	42.9	–
Denis Zakaria Midfielder	74	0	0	–	41.5	−10.4
Christian Mawissa Defender	16	0	0	–	38.1	–
Mika Biereth Forward	16	0	0	–	35.3	–
Samuel Nibombe Defender	1	0	0	–	31.6	–