UEFA Conference League 25/26, Round of 16 · 12 Mar 2026

NK Celje 0–4 AEK Athens

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made NK Celje favourites at 42%.

AEK Athens won and made the better chances: 3.8 xG to 0.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Łukasz Bejger, 65.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Łukasz Bejger +18.9, Aboubakary Koita +14.5, Orbelín Pineda +11.9.

Well below it: Răzvan Marin −17.4, Filipe Relvas −10.9, Žan-Luk Leban −9.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

26 Feb 2026	W 3–2	v FC Drita Conference League
19 Feb 2026	W 3–2	at FC Drita Conference League
18 Dec 2025	D 0–0	v Shelbourne Conference League
11 Dec 2025	L 0–3	at HNK Rijeka Conference League
27 Nov 2025	L 1–2	at SK Sigma Olomouc Conference League

18 Dec 2025	W 3–2	v Universitatea Craiova Conference League
11 Dec 2025	W 2–1	at Samsunspor Conference League
27 Nov 2025	W 1–0	at Fiorentina Conference League
6 Nov 2025	D 1–1	v Shamrock Rovers Conference League
23 Oct 2025	W 6–0	v Aberdeen Conference League

2 Oct 2025	NK Celje 3–1 AEK Athens Conference League

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Łukasz Bejger Defender	90	–	65.9	+18.9
Milot Avdyli Midfielder	32	0.04	49.1	–
Mario Kvesić Midfielder	75	0.03	47.6	−0.3
Papa Daniel Midfielder	45	–	45.6	+4.0
Artemijus Tutyškinas Defender	45	–	44.1	−7.9
Žan-Luk Leban Goalkeeper	90	–	43.3	−9.0
Rudi Požeg Vancaš Midfielder	58	–	42.3	–
Armandas Kučys Forward	90	0.07	41.1	–
Svit Sešlar Midfielder	85	0.09	40.8	−2.7
Andrej Kotnik Forward	15	–	40.2	–
Darko Hrka Midfielder	45	–	37.8	−7.4
Ivica Vidović Midfielder	9	–	29.2	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Barnabás Varga Forward	86	1	0	1.04	61.2	+4.8
Aboubakary Koita Midfielder	74	1	0	0.23	61.0	+14.5
Orbelín Pineda Midfielder	74	0	0	0.01	59.6	+11.9
Lazaros Rota Defender	90	0	0	–	56.4	+1.7
Luka Jović Forward	78	0	1	0.99	54.7	+5.5
Harold Moukoudi Defender	90	1	0	0.95	52.4	−0.6
Roberto Pereyra Midfielder	16	0	0	–	52.2	–
Mijat Gaćinović Midfielder	78	1	0	0.30	49.1	−7.3
Thomas Strakosha Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.4	−6.8
Stavros Pilios Defender	90	0	0	0.19	45.0	+2.3
Filipe Relvas Defender	90	0	0	–	42.4	−10.9
Zini Forward	12	0	0	–	42.2	–
Dimitrios Kaloskamis Midfielder	8	0	0	–	38.9	–
Petros Mantalos Midfielder	12	0	0	–	35.5	–
Răzvan Marin Midfielder	90	0	1	0.07	35.1	−17.4
Dereck Kutesa Midfielder	16	0	0	0.03	30.6	–