VriendenLoterij Eredivisie 25/26 · 6 Dec 2025

Fortuna Sittard 1–3 AFC Ajax

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 20% · Chances everywhere: 3.9 xG · Standout: Dimitris Limnios scored 90.5 · Breakout watch: Rayane Bounida

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.2 – 0.7
Actual xG: 2.9 – 1.0
Goals: 1 – 3

Footybot made Fortuna Sittard favourites at 49%.

AFC Ajax won although Fortuna Sittard made the better chances (2.9 xG to 1.0): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Dimitris Limnios, 90.5 in 19′.

Fortuna Sittard

Player	Min	G	xG	Score
Dimitris Limnios Midfielder	19	0	0.22	90.5
Justin Lonwijk Midfielder	19	0	0.20	77.7
Kristoffer Peterson Midfielder	90	0	0.08	59.3
Mohamed Ihattaren Midfielder	71	0	0.37	57.3
Kaj Sierhuis Forward	71	1	0.98	57.1
Shawn Adewoye Defender	90	0	–	55.8
Philip Brittijn Midfielder	13	0	–	55.4
Ryan Fosso Midfielder	90	0	0.05	54.6
Mattijs Branderhorst Goalkeeper	90	0	–	51.0
Édouard Michut Midfielder	90	0	0.40	46.7
Paul Gladon Forward	26	0	0.38	42.4
Jasper Dahlhaus Defender	45	0	0.11	41.0
Ivo Pinto Defender	84	0	–	38.9
Iván Márquez Defender	90	0	0.06	37.7
Syb Van Ottele Defender	64	0	0.09	32.8
Justin Hubner Defender	8	0	–	22.9

AFC Ajax

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score
Anton Gaaei Defender	10	0	0	–	88.0
Vítězslav Jaroš Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	63.0
Lucas Rosa Defender	17	0	0	–	57.3
Youri Baas Defender	60	0	0	–	56.8
Youri Regeer Midfielder	80	0	0	–	56.5
Ko Itakura Defender	90	0	0	0.03	56.0
Rayane Bounida Forward	73	0	0	0.23	51.6
Oscar Gloukh Midfielder	90	0	1	0.28	51.6
Jorthy Mokio Midfielder	17	0	0	–	48.3
Aaron Bouwman Defender	90	0	0	–	45.9
Owen Wijndal Defender	73	1	0	0.08	45.8
Wout Weghorst Forward	28	0	0	0.12	43.8
Davy Klaassen Midfielder	90	0	0	–	43.2
Kasper Dolberg Forward	62	0	0	0.09	42.7
Mika Godts Forward	80	0	0	0.18	41.8
Raúl Moro Midfielder	10	0	0	–	31.6