Brasileiro Serie A 2025 · 10 Aug 2025

Cruzeiro 1–2 Santos

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 12% · Chances everywhere: 4.1 xG · Standout: Gustavo Caballero scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Kaiki

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jul 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 2.0 – 0.7
Actual xG: 2.4 – 1.7
Goals: 1 – 2

Footybot made Cruzeiro favourites at 68%.

Santos won although Cruzeiro made the better chances (2.4 xG to 1.7): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gustavo Caballero, 100.0 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Wanderson +9.8, Benjamín Rollheiser +8.4.

Well below it: Christian −24.4, Cássio −20.1, Kaio Jorge −15.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Cruzeiro

3 Aug 2025	W 2–0	at Botafogo Brasileirão Série A
27 Jul 2025	L 1–2	v Ceará Brasileirão Série A
23 Jul 2025	D 0–0	at Corinthians Brasileirão Série A
20 Jul 2025	W 4–0	v Juventude Brasileirão Série A
17 Jul 2025	W 2–0	at Fluminense Brasileirão Série A

Santos

4 Aug 2025	W 3–1	v Juventude Brasileirão Série A
26 Jul 2025	D 2–2	at Sport Recife Brasileirão Série A
24 Jul 2025	L 1–2	v Internacional Brasileirão Série A
19 Jul 2025	L 0–3	at Mirassol Brasileirão Série A
16 Jul 2025	W 1–0	v Flamengo Brasileirão Série A

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Cruzeiro

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Gabriel Barbosa Forward	10	0	0	0.03	61.9	–
Marquinhos Midfielder	20	0	0	0.05	58.7	–
Matheus Pereira Midfielder	90	0	0	0.12	56.8	+4.5
Wanderson Forward	71	0	1	–	54.6	+9.8
Kaiki Defender	90	0	0	1.22	52.4	+2.3
Fabrício Bruno Defender	90	1	0	0.41	50.8	−0.6
William Furtado Defender	90	0	0	0.06	48.5	+3.6
Lucas Silva Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	46.3	−1.0
Lucas Romero Midfielder	81	0	0	–	45.1	−0.2
Matheus Henrique Midfielder	20	0	0	–	43.2	–
Lucas Villalba Defender	90	0	0	–	41.0	−6.6
Kaio Jorge Forward	90	0	0	0.49	38.8	−15.1
Cássio Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	33.5	−20.1
Christian Midfielder	71	0	0	–	23.4	−24.4

Santos

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Gustavo Caballero Midfielder	45	1	1	0.40	100.0	–
Guilherme Midfielder	89	1	1	0.66	92.0	–
Neymar Forward	89	0	0	0.47	57.5	+0.6
Gabriel Brazão Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	57.4	+0.2
Benjamín Rollheiser Midfielder	45	0	0	–	56.1	+8.4
Tiquinho Soares Forward	45	0	0	0.10	55.7	–
Souza Defender	90	0	0	0.09	50.6	+0.9
Gabriel Bontempo Midfielder	90	0	0	–	49.8	−4.2
Zé Rafael Midfielder	45	0	0	0.02	49.6	+4.4
João Schmidt Midfielder	1	0	0	–	48.0	–
Luis Fellipe Defender	90	0	0	–	46.4	–
Gil Defender	90	0	0	–	45.7	–
Gonzalo Escobar Defender	1	0	0	–	42.5	–
Álvaro Barreal Midfielder	45	0	0	–	41.8	−6.4
Tomás Rincón Midfielder	45	0	0	–	40.4	−4.6
Mayke Defender	90	0	0	–	39.7	–