World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026 · 4 Sep 2025

Netherlands 1–1 Poland

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 8% · Standout: Quinten Timber scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Netherlands favourites at 87%.

No xG was recorded for this match, so only the result can be read.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Nicola Zalewski, 90.3 in 71′.

Well above their usual level: Memphis Depay +31.7.

Well below it: Sebastian Szymański −16.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

No earlier result in Footybot's data.

No earlier result in Footybot's data.

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Quinten Timber Midfielder	13	0	0	–	100.0	–
Memphis Depay Forward	78	0	1	–	78.7	+31.7
Virgil van Dijk Defender	90	0	0	–	71.0	+0.2
Stefan de Vrij Defender	9	0	0	–	70.5	–
Ryan Gravenberch Midfielder	90	0	0	–	68.7	–
Denzel Dumfries Midfielder	90	1	0	–	68.6	–
Frenkie de Jong Midfielder	83	0	0	–	66.1	–
Cody Gakpo Midfielder	90	0	0	–	64.8	+2.3
Micky van de Ven Defender	90	0	0	–	60.9	–
Jan Paul van Hecke Defender	87	0	0	–	59.0	–
Xavi Simons Midfielder	79	0	0	–	49.4	–
Wout Weghorst Forward	12	0	0	–	47.7	–
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	43.4	−0.6
Donyell Malen Forward	11	0	0	–	41.3	–
Tijjani Reijnders Midfielder	84	0	0	–	41.2	–
Justin Kluivert Midfielder	12	0	0	–	32.2	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Nicola Zalewski Midfielder	71	0	–	90.3	–
Jan Bednarek Defender	90	0	–	62.2	+3.2
Łukasz Skorupski Goalkeeper	90	0	–	55.6	–
Piotr Zieliński Midfielder	71	0	–	54.6	–
Matty Cash Defender	90	1	–	54.2	–
Jakub Kamiński Midfielder	90	0	–	51.6	–
Jakub Kiwior Defender	90	0	–	50.6	–
Bartosz Slisz Midfielder	90	0	–	45.3	–
Tomasz Kędziora Defender	12	0	–	43.0	–
Robert Lewandowski Forward	64	0	–	42.2	–
Sebastian Szymański Midfielder	71	0	–	41.2	−16.3
Karol Świderski Forward	26	0	–	38.1	–