World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026 · 5 Sep 2025

Italy 5–0 Estonia

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Italy favourites at 56%.

No xG was recorded for this match, so only the result can be read.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Sandro Tonali, 100.0 in 76′.

Well above their usual level: Sandro Tonali +48.1, Moise Kean +14.7, Riccardo Calafiori +8.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

No earlier result in Footybot's data.

No earlier result in Footybot's data.

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Sandro Tonali Midfielder	76	0	0	–	100.0	+48.1
Andrea Cambiaso Midfielder	24	0	1	–	100.0	–
Giacomo Raspadori Forward	23	1	2	–	100.0	–
Federico Dimarco Midfielder	66	0	0	–	86.1	–
Francesco Pio Esposito Forward	12	0	0	–	81.7	–
Mattia Zaccagni Forward	67	0	0	–	71.5	–
Riccardo Calafiori Defender	90	0	0	–	69.0	+8.8
Mateo Retegui Forward	90	2	1	–	64.2	–
Matteo Politano Midfielder	76	0	1	–	64.1	–
Alessandro Bastoni Defender	90	1	0	–	60.6	–
Moise Kean Forward	84	1	0	–	56.8	+14.7
Gianluigi Donnarumma Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	54.3	–
Giovanni Di Lorenzo Defender	90	0	0	–	51.4	–
Riccardo Orsolini Midfielder	14	0	0	–	49.0	–
Nicolò Barella Midfielder	90	0	0	–	47.5	–
Manuel Locatelli Midfielder	14	0	0	–	30.1	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Henri Anier Forward	10	–	54.6	–
Mattias Käit Midfielder	90	–	52.0	–
Rocco Robert Shein Midfielder	80	–	50.0	+4.7
Joseph Saliste Defender	90	–	49.2	–
Karl Hein Goalkeeper	90	–	48.5	–
Maksim Paskotsi Defender	80	–	47.1	−6.3
Mihkel Ainsalu Midfielder	29	–	38.3	–
Patrik Kristal Midfielder	61	–	36.8	–
Michael Schjønning-Larsen Defender	90	–	33.6	–