Ceará 1–1 Bahia
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.3 – 0.9
- Actual xG
- 2.1 – 1.2
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Ceará favourites at 45%.
Ceará deserved more from the draw, creating 2.1 xG to 1.2.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Willian José, 75.5 in 75′.
Well above their usual level: Willian José +27.3, Lourenço +22.0, Everton Ribeiro +19.0.
Well below it: Antonio Galeano −15.0, Willian Machado −12.0, Aylon −8.4.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Ceará
| 14 Sep 2025 | D 2–2 | at Vasco da Gama |
| 30 Aug 2025 | L 0–1 | v Juventude |
| 24 Aug 2025 | D 0–0 | at Grêmio |
| 16 Aug 2025 | W 1–0 | v Red Bull Bragantino |
| 10 Aug 2025 | L 1–2 | at Palmeiras |
Bahia
| 15 Sep 2025 | L 1–2 | v Cruzeiro |
| 31 Aug 2025 | L 1–5 | at Mirassol |
| 24 Aug 2025 | W 2–0 | v Santos |
| 17 Aug 2025 | W 2–1 | at Corinthians |
| 10 Aug 2025 | D 3–3 | v Fluminense |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Ceará
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lourenço | 63 | 69.6 | +22.0 |
| Bruno Ferreira | 90 | 55.8 | +5.2 |
| Dieguinho | 84 | 47.3 | −2.1 |
| Lucas Lima | 11 | 46.0 | – |
| Vina | 27 | 44.9 | – |
| Rafael Ramos | 90 | 44.7 | −5.2 |
| Fernando Sobral | 67 | 40.4 | −6.6 |
| Marllon | 90 | 37.8 | −7.9 |
| Aylon | 63 | 37.3 | −8.4 |
| Vinicius Zanocelo | 23 | 36.4 | – |
| Nicolas | 90 | 36.1 | +1.2 |
| Willian Machado | 90 | 34.8 | −12.0 |
| Paulo Baya | 84 | 33.9 | – |
| Antonio Galeano | 90 | 29.8 | −15.0 |
| Pedro Henrique | 27 | 28.2 | – |
| Fernandinho | 11 | 19.8 | – |
Bahia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iago Borduchi | 1 | 100.0 | – |
| Willian José | 75 | 75.5 | +27.3 |
| Everton Ribeiro | 67 | 72.8 | +19.0 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 23 | 65.8 | – |
| Rezende | 23 | 57.8 | – |
| Kayky | 45 | 57.1 | +10.8 |
| Mateo Sanabria | 89 | 56.9 | – |
| Michel Araújo | 45 | 56.1 | – |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | 90 | 55.1 | +5.6 |
| Ronaldo | 90 | 55.0 | +6.6 |
| Luciano Juba | 90 | 54.2 | −0.6 |
| Nicolás Acevedo | 67 | 49.6 | −2.2 |
| Tiago Souza | 15 | 48.0 | – |
| Gabriel Xavier | 90 | 47.6 | – |
| Jean Lucas | 90 | 47.6 | −5.6 |
| Santiago Arias | 90 | 45.5 | −5.0 |