Brasileiro Serie A 2025 · 5 Oct 2025

São Paulo 2–3 Palmeiras

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: São Paulo 39%, the draw 29%, Palmeiras 32%.

Palmeiras won although São Paulo made the better chances (1.9 xG to 1.2): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gustavo Gómez, 67.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Bruno Fuchs +16.3, Gustavo Gómez +16.2, Gonzalo Tapia +11.9.

Well below it: Felipe Anderson −13.5, Rafael −13.4, Joaquín Piquerez −11.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

2 Oct 2025	W 2–0	at Fortaleza Brasileirão Série A
29 Sep 2025	L 0–1	v Ceará Brasileirão Série A
21 Sep 2025	L 0–1	at Santos Brasileirão Série A
14 Sep 2025	W 1–0	v Botafogo Brasileirão Série A
31 Aug 2025	L 0–1	at Cruzeiro Brasileirão Série A

1 Oct 2025	W 3–0	v Vasco da Gama Brasileirão Série A
28 Sep 2025	L 0–1	at Bahia Brasileirão Série A
21 Sep 2025	W 4–1	v Fortaleza Brasileirão Série A
13 Sep 2025	W 4–1	v Internacional Brasileirão Série A
31 Aug 2025	D 1–1	at Corinthians Brasileirão Série A

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Rodriguinho Midfielder	25	0	0	0.03	100.0	–
Luciano Forward	90	1	0	1.02	64.1	+11.0
Lucas Moura Forward	8	0	0	0.09	61.4	–
Gonzalo Tapia Forward	82	1	0	0.67	58.7	+11.9
Robert Arboleda Defender	90	0	0	0.02	57.8	+4.4
Cédric Soares Midfielder	90	0	0	–	56.4	+11.9
Sabino Defender	90	0	0	–	50.7	−3.3
Enzo Díaz Defender	90	0	1	0.04	50.4	−4.2
Marcos Antônio Midfielder	65	0	1	–	45.7	−3.3
Alisson Midfielder	36	0	0	–	44.3	–
Damián Bobadilla Midfielder	54	0	0	–	43.5	−5.9
Pablo Maia Midfielder	90	0	0	–	43.3	−6.6
Alan Javier Franco Defender	90	0	0	–	41.6	−10.6
Rafael Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	39.8	−13.4

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ramón Sosa Forward	25	1	0	0.58	93.6	–
Gustavo Gómez Defender	90	0	0	–	67.4	+16.2
Bruno Fuchs Defender	45	0	0	0.17	66.8	+16.3
Mauricio Midfielder	45	0	2	0.02	59.6	+10.2
Allan Midfielder	45	0	0	–	59.1	–
José Manuel López Forward	90	1	0	0.16	57.7	+0.6
Aníbal Moreno Midfielder	90	0	1	–	55.8	+7.1
Vitor Roque Forward	90	1	0	0.25	54.3	−4.4
Andreas Pereira Midfielder	90	0	0	–	44.8	–
Weverton Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	43.3	−10.6
Agustín Giay Defender	45	0	0	–	42.6	+1.1
Felipe Anderson Midfielder	65	0	0	–	40.9	−13.5
Jefté Defender	25	0	0	–	40.5	–
Murilo Defender	45	0	0	–	40.4	−7.9
Raphael Veiga Midfielder	45	0	0	0.04	39.2	−11.6
Joaquín Piquerez Defender	65	0	0	0.02	34.0	−11.7