Juventude 3–3 Cruzeiro
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 0.8 – 1.2
- Actual xG
- 1.7 – 1.8
- Goals
- 3 – 3
Footybot made Cruzeiro favourites at 46%.
A draw the chances agree with: 1.7 xG to 1.8.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Japa, 72.2 in 45′.
Well above their usual level: Gabriel Taliari +24.5, Luis Mandaca +18.0, Kaio Jorge +16.3.
Well below it: Cássio −17.8, Igor Formiga −13.1, Gabriel Barbosa −9.1.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Juventude
| 8 Nov 2025 | W 3–1 | at Vasco da Gama |
| 5 Nov 2025 | W 2–0 | at Sport Recife |
| 2 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | v Palmeiras |
| 26 Oct 2025 | L 1–3 | at Grêmio |
| 20 Oct 2025 | W 1–0 | v Red Bull Bragantino |
Cruzeiro
| 9 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | v Fluminense |
| 5 Nov 2025 | W 1–0 | at Grêmio |
| 1 Nov 2025 | W 3–1 | v Vitória |
| 26 Oct 2025 | D 0–0 | at Palmeiras |
| 19 Oct 2025 | W 1–0 | v Fortaleza |
Head to head
| 20 Jul 2025 | Cruzeiro 4–0 Juventude |
Juventude
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Mandaca | 60 | 68.6 | +18.0 |
| Gabriel Taliari | 90 | 68.4 | +24.5 |
| Caique Gonçalves | 65 | 55.0 | +9.5 |
| Marcelo Hermes | 90 | 54.2 | +7.7 |
| Abner | 36 | 51.7 | – |
| Nenê | 54 | 49.6 | −6.8 |
| Juan Sforza | 25 | 49.6 | – |
| Giovanny | 36 | 49.6 | – |
| Jandrei | 90 | 49.2 | +3.6 |
| Marcos Paulo | 66 | 45.5 | −0.2 |
| Igor Formiga | 90 | 41.2 | −13.1 |
| Rafael Bilú | 54 | 39.7 | −7.4 |
| Luan Freitas | 90 | 38.1 | −6.4 |
| Jádson | 90 | 36.6 | −7.7 |
| Ewerthon | 30 | 32.5 | – |
| Alan Ruschel | 24 | 29.5 | – |
Cruzeiro
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kauã Prates | 17 | 100.0 | – |
| Ryan Guilherme | 17 | 92.0 | – |
| Japa | 45 | 72.2 | – |
| Kaio Jorge | 90 | 63.9 | +16.3 |
| Kauã Moraes | 17 | 59.5 | – |
| Kaiki | 73 | 56.9 | +6.9 |
| Luis Sinisterra | 81 | 55.3 | – |
| Lucas Villalba | 90 | 48.1 | −0.5 |
| Lucas Romero | 90 | 47.8 | +2.6 |
| Fabrício Bruno | 90 | 47.2 | −3.1 |
| William Furtado | 73 | 46.5 | −1.6 |
| Lucas Silva | 73 | 46.0 | +2.2 |
| Matheus Henrique | 45 | 43.4 | −2.5 |
| Gabriel Barbosa | 90 | 41.2 | −9.1 |
| Cássio | 90 | 38.8 | −17.8 |
| Yannick Bolasie | 9 | 34.4 | – |