Liga Portugal 25/26 · 21 Dec 2025

Tondela 1–2 Casa Pia

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Tondela favourites at 67%.

Casa Pia won although Tondela made the better chances (1.8 xG to 1.1): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gaizka Larrazabal, 62.0 in 87′.

Well above their usual level: Gaizka Larrazabal +17.6, David Sousa +8.7.

Well below it: Tiago Manso −20.4, Maranhão −18.1, Emmanuel Maviram −16.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

15 Dec 2025	L 1–3	at CD Nacional Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025	L 0–2	v FC Porto Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025	W 1–0	at Gil Vicente Liga Portugal
8 Nov 2025	L 0–1	v Vitória SC Liga Portugal
2 Nov 2025	D 2–2	at AVS - Futebol SAD Liga Portugal

13 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Gil Vicente Liga Portugal
6 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Santa Clara Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025	L 0–2	v FC Alverca Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025	D 2–2	at Benfica Liga Portugal
1 Nov 2025	L 3–5	v CF Estrela Amadora Liga Portugal

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Rony Lopes Forward	12	0	0.06	82.4	–
Joe Hodge Midfielder	11	0	0.06	59.8	–
Ivan Cavaleiro Midfielder	90	1	0.79	51.3	+5.3
Yefrei Rodriguez Forward	11	0	0.12	48.0	–
Christian Marques Defender	90	0	–	46.4	+1.7
João Afonso Defender	90	0	0.02	45.4	−11.2
Bernardo Fontes Goalkeeper	90	0	0.22	43.4	−7.7
Cicero Midfielder	90	0	0.05	41.0	–
Jordan Siebatcheu Forward	90	0	0.26	39.5	−4.3
Juan Rodríguez Midfielder	79	0	–	36.1	−8.3
Hugo Félix Midfielder	79	0	–	34.7	−9.9
Maranhão Midfielder	86	0	0.17	32.7	−18.1
Rodrigo Conceição Defender	29	0	–	32.5	–
Emmanuel Maviram Defender	86	0	–	25.5	−16.7
Tiago Manso Defender	61	0	–	25.1	−20.4
Afonso Rodrigues Midfielder	12	0	–	23.5	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Gaizka Larrazabal Midfielder	87	1	1	0.22	62.0	+17.6
David Sousa Defender	90	0	0	0.08	56.3	+8.7
Ricardo Batista Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	51.2	+3.8
Rafael Brito Midfielder	21	0	0	–	49.8	–
Renato Nhaga Midfielder	90	1	0	0.13	48.8	+5.7
Abdu Conté Midfielder	90	0	0	–	48.1	+4.0
João Goulart Defender	11	0	0	0.19	47.4	–
Sebastián Pérez Midfielder	69	0	0	–	46.1	+4.0
Jérémy Livolant Forward	87	0	1	0.22	45.0	−8.3
Dailon Rocha Livramento Forward	69	0	0	0.25	43.6	+2.6
Yassin Oukili Midfielder	81	0	0	0.06	42.2	−7.6
Cassiano Forward	21	0	0	–	41.9	–
José Fonte Defender	90	0	0	–	39.3	−7.6
Kevin Prieto Midfielder	11	0	0	–	36.6	–
André Geraldes Defender	90	0	0	–	26.6	−10.5
Miguel Sousa Midfielder	9	0	0	–	18.7	–