MLS 2026 · 15 Mar 2026

Houston Dynamo 3–2 Portland Timbers

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Houston Dynamo favourites at 54%.

Houston Dynamo won although Portland Timbers made the better chances (2.3 xG to 1.2): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jonathan Bond, 56.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Kristoffer Velde +10.7, David Pereira Da Costa +10.0, Gage Guerra +9.4.

Well below it: Jack McGlynn −12.8, Guilherme −9.5, Lucas Halter −8.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

21 Sep 2025	Houston Dynamo 1–0 Portland Timbers MLS

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Agustin Resch Defender	20	0	0	–	74.8	–
Jonathan Bond Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	56.2	+8.9
Felipe Andrade Defender	90	1	0	0.02	46.8	+5.7
Ibrahim Aliyu Forward	10	0	0	–	45.1	–
Guilherme Midfielder	90	1	1	0.31	44.2	−9.5
Diadié Samassékou Midfielder	70	0	0	–	43.1	–
Mateusz Bogusz Forward	90	1	1	0.18	42.4	–
Ezequiel Ponce Forward	45	0	0	0.20	41.8	+1.8
Jack McGlynn Midfielder	90	0	1	0.05	37.2	−12.8
Lucas Halter Defender	70	0	0	0.22	37.1	−8.8
Héctor Herrera Midfielder	45	0	0	0.14	36.6	–
Ondrej Lingr Forward	20	0	0	–	36.3	–
Lawrence Ennali Midfielder	89	0	0	0.03	36.2	+0.7
Duane Holmes Midfielder	81	0	0	0.06	31.5	+1.1
Erik Sviatchenko Defender	90	0	0	–	27.2	−7.9
Nick Markanich Forward	12	0	0	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Finn Surman Defender	90	0	1	0.36	52.5	−0.2
Ian Smith Defender	19	0	0	0.19	50.5	–
Kevin Kelsy Forward	8	0	0	0.27	50.3	–
Alexander Aravena Forward	71	0	0	0.14	47.9	+5.6
Gage Guerra Forward	89	1	0	0.20	47.4	+9.4
David Pereira Da Costa Midfielder	63	0	0	–	46.9	+10.0
Kristoffer Velde Midfielder	90	1	0	0.88	46.8	+10.7
Joao Ortíz Midfielder	27	0	0	0.06	45.9	–
Jímer Fory Defender	90	0	0	–	45.5	+8.6
Diego Chará Midfielder	90	0	0	–	44.3	+3.2
James Pantemis Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	43.7	−3.7
Ariel Lassiter Forward	71	0	0	0.13	38.1	+3.7
Kamal Miller Defender	90	0	0	–	36.5	−4.3
Felipe Mora Forward	19	0	0	–	33.8	–
Brandon Bye Defender	90	0	0	0.04	25.2	−8.3