World Cup 2026, Round of 32 · 1 Jul 2026

Mexico 2–0 Ecuador

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jun 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Mexico favourites at 64%.

Mexico won a close one on the chances: 1.0 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ángelo Preciado, 80.5 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Ángelo Preciado +36.6, Yaimar Medina +33.2, Nilson Angulo +30.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

25 Jun 2026	W 2–1	v Germany World Cup 2026
21 Jun 2026	D 0–0	v Curaçao World Cup 2026
14 Jun 2026	L 0–1	at Côte d'Ivoire World Cup 2026
9 Sep 2025	W 1–0	v Argentina World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL
4 Sep 2025	D 0–0	at Paraguay World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Gilberto Mora Midfielder	58	0	0	0.08	74.4	–
Roberto Alvarado Forward	80	0	1	0.14	69.4	–
Julián Quiñones Forward	80	1	1	0.10	63.7	+8.3
Raúl Jiménez Forward	74	1	0	0.44	62.6	+7.0
Raúl Rangel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	57.2	–
Johan Vásquez Defender	90	0	0	0.03	54.0	+3.6
Luis Romo Defender	73	0	0	0.03	53.8	–
Israel Reyes Defender	10	0	0	–	50.6	–
Brian Gutiérrez Midfielder	32	0	0	–	50.4	–
Orbelín Pineda Midfielder	10	0	0	0.13	49.2	–
Santiago Giménez Forward	16	0	0	–	48.3	–
Jorge Sánchez Defender	90	0	0	–	42.9	–
Obed Vargas Midfielder	17	0	0	–	42.0	–
Erik Lira Defender	90	0	0	–	41.7	–
Jesús Gallardo Defender	90	0	0	–	37.8	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Kendry Páez Midfielder	11	–	100.0	–
Ángelo Preciado Defender	45	–	80.5	+36.6
Nilson Angulo Midfielder	79	–	76.4	+30.7
Kevin Rodriguez Forward	31	0.35	71.5	–
Yaimar Medina Defender	45	0.03	69.3	+33.2
Willian Pacho Defender	90	–	67.3	+13.6
John Yeboah Forward	79	0.23	54.7	–
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder	90	0.01	54.3	+1.4
Piero Hincapié Defender	90	–	53.6	+5.3
Pedro Vite Midfielder	90	0.03	50.4	–
Gonzalo Plata Midfielder	90	–	49.1	+1.0
Joel Ordóñez Defender	45	–	47.3	−0.5
Alan Franco Midfielder	45	–	43.7	+0.3
Enner Valencia Forward	59	–	38.9	−2.8