Famalicão 2–3 CF Estrela Amadora
Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 15% · Standout: Romeo Beney scored 86.5 · Breakout watch: Yassir Zabiri
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.8 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 2.7 – 0.7
- Goals
- 2 – 3
Footybot made Famalicão favourites at 62%.
CF Estrela Amadora won although Famalicão made the better chances (2.7 xG to 0.7): a result the chances didn't back.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jovane Cabral, 71.8 in 78′.
Well above their usual level: Jovane Cabral +25.4, Kikas +9.2.
Well below it: Lazar Carević −25.0, Yassir Zabiri −12.7, Rafa Soares −10.2.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Famalicão
| 22 Dec 2025 | L 0–1 | at Benfica |
| 14 Dec 2025 | W 4–0 | v Estoril Praia |
| 6 Dec 2025 | L 1–2 | v Sporting Braga |
| 29 Nov 2025 | D 2–2 | at Moreirense |
| 9 Nov 2025 | L 0–1 | v FC Porto |
CF Estrela Amadora
| 20 Dec 2025 | D 0–0 | v Moreirense |
| 15 Dec 2025 | L 1–3 | at FC Porto |
| 7 Dec 2025 | W 3–1 | v FC Arouca |
| 30 Nov 2025 | L 0–4 | at Sporting CP |
| 9 Nov 2025 | D 1–1 | v CD Nacional |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Famalicão
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Romeo Beney | 11 | 86.5 | – |
| Gil Dias | 90 | 57.7 | +6.6 |
| Simon Elisor | 22 | 49.4 | – |
| Sorriso | 89 | 48.2 | −0.9 |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro | 89 | 47.5 | +8.0 |
| Tom Van De Looi | 90 | 47.2 | +1.9 |
| Léo Realpe | 90 | 46.3 | −3.9 |
| Gustavo García | 10 | 46.3 | – |
| Justin De Haas | 90 | 44.3 | −5.6 |
| Antoine Joujou | 10 | 42.3 | – |
| Mathias De Amorim | 68 | 41.4 | −6.9 |
| Gustavo Sá | 90 | 41.0 | −6.1 |
| Yassir Zabiri | 79 | 40.9 | −12.7 |
| Umar Abubakar | 11 | 37.3 | – |
| Lazar Carević | 90 | 31.1 | −25.0 |
| Rafa Soares | 79 | 31.1 | −10.2 |
CF Estrela Amadora
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robinho | 21 | 85.0 | – |
| Jovane Cabral | 78 | 71.8 | +25.4 |
| Otavio | 44 | 65.6 | – |
| Kikas | 77 | 55.2 | +9.2 |
| Renan Ribeiro | 90 | 53.3 | +2.7 |
| Luan Patrick | 90 | 51.0 | +5.2 |
| Bernardo Schappo | 90 | 48.4 | −6.6 |
| Abraham Marcus | 69 | 48.4 | +4.1 |
| Ianis Stoica | 21 | 46.5 | – |
| Oumar Ngom | 90 | 46.0 | +0.1 |
| Alex Sola | 69 | 43.1 | – |
| Paulo Moreira | 90 | 40.1 | −2.5 |
| Atanas Chernev | 12 | 39.8 | – |
| Jefferson Encada | 90 | 38.0 | −7.0 |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 13 | 33.3 | – |
| Guilherme Montóia | 46 | 33.1 | −6.5 |