Matchday

Championship 25/26 · 1 Jan 2026

Watford 3–0 Birmingham City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.3 – 0.9
Actual xG
1.6 – 0.4
Goals
3 – 0

Footybot made Watford favourites at 46%.

Watford won and made the better chances: 1.6 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Tom Ince, 64.6 in 77′.

Watford

PlayerMinGAxGScore
Tom Ince Midfielder77301.0564.6
Egil Selvik Goalkeeper9000–61.6
Nestory Irankunda Forward45010.0446.7
Hector Kyprianou Midfielder9000–40.6
Moussa Sissoko Midfielder2000–38.2
Imrân Louza Midfielder6900–37.5
Giorgi Chakvetadze Midfielder4501–36.2
Luca Kjerrumgaard Forward64000.0634.7
Nampalys Mendy Midfielder2100–32.2
Max Alleyne Defender9000–30.1
Marc Bola Defender90000.2529.9
Matthew Pollock Defender9000–28.9
Othmane Maamma Midfielder70000.1228.7
James Abankwah Defender9000–28.6
Vivaldo Forward26000.0328.2
Kwadwo Baah Forward1300–27.6

Birmingham City

PlayerMinGAxGScore
Phil Neumann Defender9000–42.4
Eiran Cashin Defender28000.0441.3
Jack Robinson Defender9000–40.8
Keshi Anderson Midfielder77000.0340.5
Kyogo Furuhashi Forward68000.0439.7
Alfons Sampsted Defender4500–39.2
James Beadle Goalkeeper9000–37.5
Marc Leonard Midfielder4500–37.2
Lyndon Dykes Forward4500–36.7
Seung Ho Paik Midfielder9000–36.1
Tomoki Iwata Midfielder9000–34.1
Lewis Koumas Forward1300–33.0
Willum Thor Willumsson Midfielder4500–31.5
Patrick Roberts Midfielder90000.2929.6
Marvin Ducksch Forward2200–28.4
Alex Cochrane Defender6200–27.2