Liga Portugal 25/26 · 2 Jan 2026

Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Vitória SC favourites at 58%.

Vitória SC won although CD Nacional made the better chances (1.5 xG to 0.9): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Paulinho Bóia, 52.3 in 90′.

Well below it: Telmo Arcanjo −25.6, Samu −25.3, Ze Vitor −14.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

28 Dec 2025	D 0–0	at Casa Pia Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2025	L 1–4	v Sporting CP Liga Portugal
13 Dec 2025	W 1–0	at Rio Ave Liga Portugal
8 Dec 2025	D 0–0	v Gil Vicente Liga Portugal
28 Nov 2025	W 4–0	v AVS - Futebol SAD Liga Portugal

21 Dec 2025	D 2–2	at AVS - Futebol SAD Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2025	W 3–1	v Tondela Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at FC Alverca Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025	L 1–2	v Benfica Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025	D 1–1	at CF Estrela Amadora Liga Portugal

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Juan Castillo Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	52.2	+0.7
Beni Mukendi Midfielder	90	0	0	–	49.2	−0.4
Noah Saviolo Midfielder	89	1	1	0.19	48.0	+4.0
Gonçalo Nogueira Midfielder	90	0	0	–	45.7	−3.7
Tony Strata Defender	23	0	1	–	44.2	–
Alioune Ndoye Forward	31	0	0	0.40	42.9	–
João Mendes Defender	90	0	0	–	41.2	+0.2
Miguel Nóbrega Defender	90	0	0	–	40.0	−8.4
Nélson Oliveira Forward	59	0	0	0.18	39.9	−5.0
Diogo Sousa Midfielder	45	0	0	–	35.4	−10.3
Rodrigo Abascal Defender	90	1	0	0.10	34.2	−5.2
Oumar Camara Forward	30	0	0	–	32.2	–
Telmo Arcanjo Midfielder	60	0	0	–	27.9	−25.6
Miguel Maga Defender	67	0	0	–	27.3	−14.3
Samu Midfielder	45	0	0	–	21.2	−25.3
Fabio Blanco Midfielder	1	0	0	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Lucas João Forward	14	0	1	–	71.1	–
Chiheb Labidi Midfielder	30	1	0	0.10	68.8	–
Lenny Vallier Defender	14	0	0	0.04	52.6	–
Paulinho Bóia Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	52.3	+6.9
Liziero Midfielder	76	0	0	–	51.2	+4.9
Matheus Dias Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	50.0	+4.4
Jesús Ramírez Forward	90	0	0	0.74	47.8	−5.7
João Aurélio Defender	90	0	0	–	43.5	−1.9
Pablo Ruan Forward	30	0	0	–	43.2	–
Kaique Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	42.0	−8.0
Miguel Baeza Midfielder	60	0	0	0.11	41.2	–
Léo Santos Defender	66	0	0	0.32	40.1	−7.6
Ze Vitor Defender	90	0	0	–	38.2	−14.5
José Gomes Defender	76	0	0	0.05	34.1	−10.2
Daniel Júnior Midfielder	60	0	0	0.05	33.3	–
Francisco Gonçalves Defender	24	0	0	–	30.4	–