Matchday

UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 24 Sep 2026

Norway 3–2 Denmark

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.6 – 1.5
Actual xG
1.5 – 1.2
Goals
3 – 2

Footybot made Norway favourites at 61%.

Norway won a close one on the chances: 1.5 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Mikkel Damsgaard, 77.2 in 82′.

Well above their usual level: Rasmus Kristensen +25.7, Joakim Mæhle +18.4, Mikkel Damsgaard +17.6.

Well below it: Filip Jørgensen −13.7, Fredrik Aursnes −10.0, Kristoffer Ajer −9.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Norway

11 Jul 2026D 1–1v England World Cup 2026
5 Jul 2026W 2–1at Brazil World Cup 2026
30 Jun 2026W 2–1at Côte d'Ivoire World Cup 2026
26 Jun 2026L 1–4v France World Cup 2026
23 Jun 2026W 3–2v Senegal World Cup 2026

Denmark

31 Mar 2026D 1–1at Czechia World Cup Qualification UEFA
26 Mar 2026W 4–0v North Macedonia World Cup Qualification UEFA
18 Nov 2025L 2–4at Scotland World Cup Qualification UEFA
15 Nov 2025D 2–2v Belarus World Cup Qualification UEFA
12 Oct 2025W 3–1v Greece World Cup Qualification UEFA

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Norway

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Kristian Thorstvedt Midfielder100–100.0–
Erling Haaland Forward90200.3568.1+4.2
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder90020.2064.0−1.9
Thelo Aasgaard Midfielder24000.0362.8–
Sander Berge Midfielder9000–62.0+8.4
Andreas Schjelderup Midfielder24000.1361.3–
Oscar Bobb Midfielder66100.1356.5+1.5
Kristoffer Ajer Defender90000.1853.0−9.1
Julian Ryerson Midfielder9000–52.4−3.4
Antonio Nusa Forward89010.0450.1−4.7
Torbjørn Heggem Defender9000–49.0−4.0
Ørjan Nyland Goalkeeper9000–46.1−5.7
Patrick Berg Midfielder66000.4245.4−7.2
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder6600–44.3−10.0
David Møller Wolfe Defender2700–5.3–

Denmark

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Thomas Jørgensen Midfielder200–100.0–
Mikkel Damsgaard Midfielder82100.2177.2+17.6
Morten Hjulmand Midfielder88000.1969.4+12.9
Patrick Dorgu Midfielder75000.0268.6+10.4
Rasmus Kristensen Defender90000.0664.5+25.7
Joakim Mæhle Defender90000.0264.2+18.4
Joachim Andersen Defender9000–62.2+2.5
Gustav Isaksen Forward1500–61.9–
Oliver Provstgaard Defender9000–60.9+12.7
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Midfielder90000.0360.5+5.8
Rasmus Højlund Forward82100.6549.3+3.1
Albert Grønbæk Midfielder800–45.0–
Victor Froholdt Midfielder75000.0242.4−0.5
Kasper Høgh Forward800–40.0–
Mads Bidstrup Midfielder1500–39.5–
Filip Jørgensen Goalkeeper9000–32.7−13.7