Bulgaria 1–2 Luxembourg
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.5 – 0.9
- Actual xG
- 1.0 – 1.1
- Goals
- 1 – 2
Footybot made Bulgaria favourites at 52%.
Luxembourg won a close one on the chances: 1.1 xG to 1.0.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Leandro Barreiro, 61.7 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Leandro Barreiro +14.6, Anthony Moris +9.7, Laurent Jans +9.4.
Well below it: Lukas Petkov −17.4, Florian Bohnert −16.4, Aiman Dardari −12.7.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Bulgaria
| 18 Nov 2025 | W 2–1 | v Georgia |
| 15 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | at Türkiye |
| 14 Oct 2025 | L 0–4 | at Spain |
| 11 Oct 2025 | L 1–6 | v Türkiye |
| 7 Sep 2025 | L 0–3 | at Georgia |
Luxembourg
| 17 Nov 2025 | L 0–1 | at Northern Ireland |
| 14 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | v Germany |
| 13 Oct 2025 | L 0–2 | at Slovakia |
| 10 Oct 2025 | L 0–4 | at Germany |
| 7 Sep 2025 | L 0–1 | v Slovakia |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Bulgaria
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Petko Panayotov | 22 | 78.5 | – |
| Marin Petkov | 22 | 55.6 | – |
| Asen Chandarov | 56 | 53.6 | – |
| Daniel Naumov | 90 | 52.5 | – |
| Ilia Gruev | 90 | 49.9 | +0.2 |
| Kristian Dimitrov | 90 | 46.5 | −4.7 |
| Ivan Turitsov | 90 | 45.2 | – |
| Dimitar Velkovski | 90 | 44.1 | −10.3 |
| Georgi Rusev | 45 | 41.1 | −2.0 |
| Teodor Ivanov | 82 | 38.2 | – |
| Lukas Petkov | 90 | 32.4 | −17.4 |
| Stanislav Ivanov | 45 | 31.5 | – |
Luxembourg
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leandro Barreiro | 90 | 61.7 | +14.6 |
| Vincent Thill | 72 | 59.9 | – |
| Anthony Moris | 90 | 56.9 | +9.7 |
| Laurent Jans | 90 | 51.5 | +9.4 |
| Danel Sinani | 45 | 50.5 | +4.7 |
| Aiman Dardari | 83 | 46.2 | −12.7 |
| Enes Mahmutović | 90 | 41.9 | −6.0 |
| Florian Bohnert | 90 | 37.7 | −16.4 |
| Miguel Fernandes Gonçalves | 1 | 34.1 | – |
| Sebastien Thill | 11 | 28.4 | – |