UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 28 Sep 2026

Sweden 3–1 Poland

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Sweden favourites at 47%.

Sweden won and made the better chances: 2.1 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Nicola Zalewski, 69.8 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Nicola Zalewski +21.2, Victor Lindelöf +17.5, Patrik Wålemark +14.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

25 Sep 2026	W 2–1	v Romania UEFA Nations League
30 Jun 2026	L 0–3	at France World Cup 2026
25 Jun 2026	D 1–1	at Japan World Cup 2026
20 Jun 2026	L 1–5	at Netherlands World Cup 2026
15 Jun 2026	W 5–1	v Tunisia World Cup 2026

25 Sep 2026	D 0–0	v Bosnia & Herzegovina UEFA Nations League
31 Mar 2026	L 2–3	at Sweden World Cup Qualification UEFA
26 Mar 2026	W 2–1	v Albania World Cup Qualification UEFA
17 Nov 2025	W 3–2	at Malta World Cup Qualification UEFA
14 Nov 2025	D 1–1	v Netherlands World Cup Qualification UEFA

31 Mar 2026	Sweden 3–2 Poland World Cup Qualification UEFA

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Sebastian Nanasi Midfielder	27	0	1	–	65.9	–
Victor Lindelöf Defender	90	0	1	0.08	63.7	+17.5
Yasin Ayari Midfielder	89	1	0	0.05	63.3	+13.8
Benjamin Nygren Forward	80	1	0	0.50	62.9	+14.4
Viktor Gyökeres Forward	89	1	0	0.93	62.6	+11.8
Patrik Wålemark Midfielder	80	0	1	0.30	58.2	+14.7
Daniel Svensson Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	56.6	+4.9
Viktor Johansson Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	56.2	+7.3
Hugo Larsson Midfielder	10	0	0	–	50.4	–
Besfort Zeneli Midfielder	63	0	0	0.13	50.2	+1.0
Gabriel Gudmundsson Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	49.8	+4.6
Lucas Bergvall Midfielder	90	0	0	–	49.7	−1.5
Carl Starfelt Defender	90	0	0	–	47.5	−7.3
Alexander Bernhardsson Midfielder	10	0	0	0.08	44.4	–
Williot Swedberg Forward	1	0	0	–	36.9	–
Jesper Karlström Midfielder	1	0	0	–	34.1	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nicola Zalewski Midfielder	90	0	1	–	69.8	+21.2
Sebastian Szymański Midfielder	76	1	0	0.41	64.3	+10.3
Piotr Zieliński Midfielder	76	0	0	0.18	60.7	+6.1
Jan Bednarek Defender	90	0	0	–	58.3	−4.3
Przemysław Frankowski Midfielder	25	0	0	–	57.0	–
Tymoteusz Puchacz Defender	65	0	0	–	57.0	+12.8
Jakub Kiwior Defender	90	0	0	0.01	56.7	+5.1
Kacper Urbański Midfielder	14	0	0	–	55.1	–
Michał Skóraś Midfielder	14	0	0	–	54.1	–
Wiktor Nowak Midfielder	90	0	0	0.12	53.7	–
Mateusz Żukowski Forward	90	0	0	0.05	49.3	–
Marcin Bułka Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	46.0	−7.4
Karol Świderski Forward	14	0	0	–	42.7	–
Matty Cash Defender	76	0	0	0.10	42.4	−1.1
Robert Lewandowski Forward	2	0	0	–	23.5	–