MLS 2026 · 17 Oct 2026

New York Red Bulls 0–2 Toronto FC

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made New York Red Bulls favourites at 54%.

Toronto FC won a close one on the chances: 0.6 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Luka Gavran, 58.0 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Jackson Gilman +16.1, Luka Gavran +13.0.

Well below it: Cameron Harper −16.7, Devin Padelford −16.2, Theo Corbeanu −14.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

14 Mar 2026	Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls MLS

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Julián Bazán Defender	90	0.06	52.5	+1.1
Ethan Horvath Goalkeeper	90	–	45.8	−7.2
Ronald Donkor Midfielder	90	–	45.3	+1.0
Justin Che Defender	71	0.07	42.7	+0.5
Dylan Nealis Defender	60	–	42.6	+3.8
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty Defender	30	–	40.4	–
Julian Hall Forward	90	0.22	37.5	−2.8
Mohammed Sofo Forward	90	0.05	37.0	−3.4
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting Forward	45	0.03	36.8	−10.8
Adri Mehmeti Midfielder	45	–	34.5	−10.3
Jorge Ruvalcaba Forward	30	–	30.6	–
Emil Forsberg Midfielder	45	0.17	30.0	−8.4
Cameron Harper Midfielder	60	0.16	27.1	−16.7
Cade Cowell Forward	45	0.15	24.4	−13.9
Devin Padelford Defender	90	–	23.4	−16.2
Pedro Castro Midfielder	19	0.03	14.7	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Luka Gavran Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	58.0	+13.0
Dániel Sallói Midfielder	22	1	0	0.40	55.9	–
Jackson Gilman Defender	62	0	0	–	54.2	+16.1
Josh Sargent Forward	86	0	0	–	40.0	−3.1
Jonathan Osorio Midfielder	90	0	1	–	39.0	+0.3
Lewis Morgan Forward	86	0	0	–	38.7	−4.0
Niklas Dorsch Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	36.3	−6.2
Nickseon Gomis Defender	90	0	0	0.07	35.6	−2.4
Zane Monlouis Defender	90	0	0	–	32.4	−4.8
Derrick Etienne Forward	22	0	0	–	31.8	–
Đorđe Mihailović Midfielder	68	0	0	–	29.2	−9.0
Matheus Pereira Defender	90	0	0	0.04	28.8	−2.4
Alonso Coello Midfielder	9	0	0	–	26.6	–
Theo Corbeanu Forward	68	0	0	0.04	25.8	−14.9
Richard Chukwu Defender	9	0	0	–	25.5	–
Kobe Franklin Defender	28	0	0	–	15.5	–