Matchday

Bundesliga 25/26 · 17 Jan 2026

RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München

Picked for matchday: Chances everywhere: 7.1 xG · Standout: Michael Olise scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Willi Orbán

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.3 – 2.0
Actual xG
2.5 – 4.6
Goals
1 – 5

Footybot made FC Bayern München favourites at 54%.

FC Bayern München won and made the better chances: 4.6 xG to 2.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Andrija Maksimović, 100.0 in 1′.

RB Leipzig

PlayerMinGAxGScore
Andrija Maksimović Midfielder100–100.0
Antonio Nusa Forward89001.1767.3
Rômulo Forward81100.6565.3
Yan Diomande Forward90000.1862.1
David Raum Defender9001–61.3
Ezechiel Banzuzi Midfielder900–59.6
Castello Lukeba Defender9000–57.1
Conrad Harder Forward9000.0555.1
Nicolas Seiwald Midfielder81000.0952.1
Xaver Schlager Midfielder9000–49.5
Tidiam Gomis Forward12000.0244.4
Ridle Baku Defender90000.0343.0
Péter Gulácsi Goalkeeper9000–41.5
Christoph Baumgartner Midfielder84000.2739.8
Willi Orbán Defender9000–38.4

FC Bayern München

PlayerMinGAxGScore
Michael Olise Midfielder34130.53100.0
Joshua Kimmich Midfielder45000.2778.9
Jonathan Tah Defender90100.1571.3
Jamal Musiala Midfielder901–69.5
Kim Min-jae Defender1000–68.2
Harry Kane Forward90100.9363.3
Aleksandar Pavlović Midfielder90100.9063.1
Serge Gnabry Midfielder87101.3657.6
Dayot Upamecano Defender9001–56.0
Manuel Neuer Goalkeeper9000–52.9
Leon Goretzka Midfielder4500–50.1
Lennart Karl Midfielder56000.0448.8
Luis Díaz Midfielder90000.4346.1
Tom Bischof Midfielder8100–45.6
Hiroki Itō Defender86000.0442.4
Alphonso Davies Defender900–34.3