Premier League 25/26 · 25 Jan 2026

Arsenal 2–3 Manchester United

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 12% · Standout: Mikel Merino scored 90.4

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Arsenal favourites at 69%.

Manchester United won a close one on the chances: 0.7 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Mikel Merino, 90.4 in 32′.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score
Mikel Merino Midfielder	32	1	0.53	90.4
Declan Rice Midfielder	90	0	0.12	69.4
Eberechi Eze Midfielder	32	0	–	64.0
Bukayo Saka Forward	90	0	0.06	59.9
Gabriel Magalhães Defender	90	0	–	54.6
William Saliba Defender	90	0	–	54.0
Martín Zubimendi Midfielder	58	0	0.28	52.6
Gabriel Jesus Forward	58	0	0.01	47.1
Piero Hincapié Defender	58	0	–	45.9
Leandro Trossard Forward	75	0	0.07	43.6
Noni Madueke Forward	15	0	–	42.9
Ben White Defender	32	0	–	41.5
Viktor Gyökeres Forward	32	0	0.03	40.3
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder	58	0	0.10	36.9
Jurriën Timber Defender	90	0	–	35.8
David Raya Goalkeeper	90	0	–	27.8

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score
Matheus Cunha Forward	21	1	0	0.03	89.7
Lisandro Martínez Defender	90	0	0	0.01	71.7
Bryan Mbeumo Forward	69	1	0	0.21	68.3
Luke Shaw Defender	90	0	0	–	63.2
Patrick Dorgu Midfielder	81	1	0	0.09	60.3
Bruno Fernandes Midfielder	90	0	1	0.37	60.0
Casemiro Midfielder	90	0	0	–	58.6
Senne Lammens Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	57.9
Harry Maguire Defender	90	0	0	–	54.1
Kobbie Mainoo Midfielder	90	0	1	0.02	53.0
Benjamin Šeško Forward	9	0	0	–	46.4
Amad Diallo Midfielder	88	0	0	–	43.2
Diogo Dalot Defender	90	0	0	–	37.5
Noussair Mazraoui Defender	10	0	0	–	34.1