VriendenLoterij Eredivisie 25/26 · 30 Jan 2026

NAC Breda 2–2 FC Twente

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made FC Twente favourites at 44%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.3 xG to 1.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lewis Holtby, 77.6 in 67′.

Well above their usual level: Lewis Holtby +27.3, Sondre Ørjasæter +22.2, Boy Kemper +18.9.

Well below it: Daan Rots −18.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

24 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Excelsior Eredivisie
18 Jan 2026	W 2–0	at Heracles Almelo Eredivisie
10 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v PEC Zwolle Eredivisie
21 Dec 2025	D 1–1	at Feyenoord Eredivisie
14 Dec 2025	W 2–0	v Go Ahead Eagles Eredivisie

13 Sep 2025	FC Twente 2–2 NAC Breda Eredivisie

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Lewis Holtby Midfielder	67	0	0	0.02	77.6	+27.3
Leo Greiml Defender	90	0	0	0.05	72.2	+5.8
Rio Hillen Defender	45	0	0	0.02	66.1	+13.5
Juho Talvitie Midfielder	45	0	1	0.04	63.0	+4.8
Charles-Andreas Brym Forward	90	1	0	0.38	62.1	+7.6
Moussa Soumano Forward	90	1	0	0.27	60.4	+5.8
Boy Kemper Defender	53	0	0	–	59.7	+18.9
Daniel Bielica Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	58.8	+7.6
Boyd Lucassen Defender	23	0	0	0.12	55.2	–
Clint Leemans Midfielder	13	0	0	–	52.3	–
Denis Odoi Defender	90	0	0	–	49.4	−0.3
Kamal Sowah Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	45.0	+2.2
Cherrion Valerius Defender	67	0	0	0.12	44.9	−0.1
Maximilien Balard Midfielder	83	0	0	–	44.7	−1.8
André Ayew Forward	23	0	0	–	43.5	–
Jayden Candelaria Defender	37	0	0	0.21	36.7	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Sondre Ørjasæter Midfielder	69	0	1	0.08	75.4	+22.2
Ricky van Wolfswinkel Forward	90	1	0	0.38	57.2	+5.2
Lars Unnerstall Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	56.4	+6.4
Stav Lemkin Defender	90	0	0	–	53.5	+6.5
Max Bruns Defender	12	0	0	–	52.3	–
Mats Rots Defender	90	1	0	0.37	51.2	+8.6
Marko Pjaca Forward	21	0	0	0.11	47.8	–
Bart van Rooij Defender	90	0	0	–	47.2	+0.4
Kristian Hlynsson Midfielder	22	0	0	0.26	45.6	–
Ruud Nijstad Defender	90	0	0	–	44.6	+0.5
Ramiz Zerrouki Midfielder	57	0	0	–	44.1	−4.1
Thomas Van den Belt Midfielder	78	0	0	0.24	42.3	−5.1
Arno Verschueren Midfielder	68	0	0	–	40.9	−6.4
Daan Rots Midfielder	77	0	1	0.20	37.5	−18.0
Sam Lammers Forward	13	0	0	–	37.4	–
Mathias Kjølø Midfielder	33	0	0	–	35.4	–