EFL Cup 25/26, Round 4 · 28 Oct 2025

Wrexham 1–2 Cardiff City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Wrexham favourites at 52%.

Cardiff City won a close one on the chances: 1.6 xG to 1.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Callum Burton, 60.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Kieffer Moore +17.2, Calum Chambers +8.9, Lewis O'Brien +8.9.

Well below it: Josh Windass −15.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

25 Oct 2025	D 1–1	at Middlesbrough Championship
22 Oct 2025	W 1–0	v Oxford United Championship
18 Oct 2025	L 0–1	at Stoke City Championship
3 Oct 2025	D 1–1	v Birmingham City Championship
30 Sep 2025	D 1–1	at Leicester City Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Callum Burton Goalkeeper	90	0	–	60.5	–
Kieffer Moore Forward	45	1	1.01	59.7	+17.2
Lewis O'Brien Midfielder	90	0	0.06	50.7	+8.9
George Dobson Midfielder	90	0	–	46.6	+3.4
Ryan Longman Midfielder	90	0	0.05	42.1	+1.5
Ryan Hardie Forward	13	0	0.11	41.8	–
Nathan Broadhead Forward	45	0	0.09	41.5	−1.8
George Thomason Midfielder	90	0	–	41.5	+0.0
Sam Smith Forward	45	0	0.07	40.2	−1.3
Oliver Rathbone Forward	45	0	–	39.9	–
Conor Coady Defender	77	0	–	37.7	−1.3
Matty James Midfielder	45	0	–	36.2	−5.7
Ryan Barnett Midfielder	77	0	–	34.8	−5.5
Max Cleworth Defender	90	0	–	33.5	−3.4
Josh Windass Forward	45	0	0.01	33.3	−15.0
Issa Kaboré Midfielder	13	0	–	24.3	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Perry Ng Defender	8	0	0	–	95.9	–
Nathan Trott Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	52.7	–
Calum Chambers Defender	90	0	0	–	51.5	+8.9
Alex Robertson Midfielder	24	0	0	0.04	49.2	–
Rubin Colwill Midfielder	90	0	0	0.27	49.0	+4.0
William Fish Defender	90	1	0	0.18	46.0	–
Yousef Salech Forward	90	1	0	0.44	44.5	–
Gabriel Osho Defender	8	0	0	–	40.8	–
David Turnbull Midfielder	24	0	0	–	39.6	–
Isaak Davies Forward	45	0	0	0.16	38.4	−8.0
Ryan Wintle Midfielder	66	0	0	0.09	36.7	–
Cian Ashford Midfielder	87	0	0	0.10	35.6	–
Joel Bagan Defender	82	0	1	–	35.0	+1.4
Joel Colwill Midfielder	66	0	0	0.08	32.4	–
Ronan Kpakio Defender	90	0	0	0.19	28.3	–