FA Cup 25/26, Round 2 · 7 Dec 2025

Blackpool 4–1 Carlisle United

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Blackpool favourites at 53%.

Blackpool won and made the better chances: 2.6 xG to 1.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Bailey Peacock-Farrell, 58.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Bailey Peacock-Farrell +10.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Nov 2025	W 1–0	v Scunthorpe United FA Cup
12 Aug 2025	L 0–1	v Port Vale EFL Cup

1 Nov 2025	D 2–2	at Reading FA Cup

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Bailey Peacock-Farrell Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	58.4	+10.1
CJ Hamilton Midfielder	14	0	0	0.56	56.5	–
Ashley Fletcher Forward	76	2	0	0.84	55.7	–
Tom Bloxham Forward	90	1	0	0.32	47.1	–
Fraser Horsfall Defender	90	0	0	–	46.7	–
Hayden Coulson Defender	90	0	0	–	43.3	–
Oliver Casey Defender	90	0	0	0.46	42.8	–
Zachary Ashworth Defender	61	0	0	–	40.9	–
Scott Banks Midfielder	57	1	1	0.20	40.0	–
George Honeyman Midfielder	90	0	2	–	39.4	–
Lee Evans Midfielder	45	0	0	–	37.9	–
Josh Bowler Midfielder	29	0	0	0.02	37.3	–
Daniel Imray Defender	33	0	0	0.20	33.2	–
Jordan Brown Midfielder	61	0	0	0.04	30.5	–
James Husband Defender	29	0	0	–	27.5	–
Emil Hansson Midfielder	45	0	1	–	24.8	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Junior Luamba Midfielder	21	0	0	0.04	69.5	–
Regan Linney Midfielder	69	0	0	0.07	54.2	–
Luke Armstrong Forward	90	1	0	0.31	48.5	–
Aaron Hayden Defender	90	0	0	0.62	48.0	–
David Ajiboye Midfielder	69	0	1	0.25	44.9	–
Hayden Atkinson Defender	21	0	0	–	44.8	–
Josh Williams Defender	90	0	0	–	42.3	–
Harvey Macadam Midfielder	69	0	0	–	40.2	–
Jack Ellis Defender	90	0	0	0.02	39.1	–
Callum Whelan Midfielder	14	0	0	–	38.6	–
Stephen Wearne Midfielder	26	0	0	–	36.4	–
Harry Lewis Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	31.8	–
Jordan Jones Midfielder	21	0	0	–	31.4	–
Cameron Harper Defender	90	0	0	–	30.9	–
Chris Conn-Clarke Midfielder	64	0	0	0.21	29.8	–