FA Cup 25/26, Round 3 · 11 Jan 2026

Sheffield United 3–4 Mansfield Town

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Sheffield United favourites at 52%.

Mansfield Town won although Sheffield United made the better chances (3.2 xG to 1.1): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Mark McGuinness, 86.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Mark McGuinness +34.9, Gustavo Hamer +22.3, Djibril Soumaré +9.2.

Well below it: Ki-Jana Hoever −15.7, Adam Davies −14.6, Tahith Chong −11.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Jan 2026	W 3–1	v Leicester City Championship
29 Dec 2025	W 2–1	at Stoke City Championship
26 Dec 2025	L 3–5	at Wrexham Championship
20 Dec 2025	W 3–0	v Birmingham City Championship
12 Dec 2025	L 0–2	at West Bromwich Albion Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Mark McGuinness Defender	90	0	1	0.16	86.5	+34.9
Patrick Bamford Forward	34	1	0	0.72	67.9	–
Gustavo Hamer Midfielder	90	1	0	0.09	62.4	+22.3
Djibril Soumaré Midfielder	70	0	1	0.15	50.4	+9.2
Oliver Arblaster Midfielder	84	0	0	0.12	47.8	+4.8
Jaïro Riedewald Midfielder	13	0	0	–	44.7	–
Ben Mee Defender	90	0	0	–	42.5	−5.5
Tyrese Campbell Forward	90	0	0	0.19	41.6	+0.1
Danny Ings Forward	56	0	0	1.03	39.2	+0.2
Tom Davies Midfielder	20	0	0	–	37.8	–
Ki-Jana Hoever Defender	57	0	0	–	33.8	−15.7
Tahith Chong Midfielder	57	0	0	0.24	32.4	−11.5
Harrison Burrows Defender	90	0	0	0.50	30.0	−7.3
Femi Seriki Defender	33	0	0	–	29.1	–
Adam Davies Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	26.1	−14.6
Andre Brooks Midfielder	33	0	0	–	22.3	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jon Russell Midfielder	14	0	0	–	71.5	–
Louis Reed Midfielder	90	2	0	0.15	61.7	–
Rhys Oates Forward	76	1	1	0.28	57.9	–
Will Evans Forward	84	0	0	–	47.4	–
Lucas Akins Midfielder	90	1	0	0.39	43.7	–
Liam Roberts Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	43.6	–
Jamie McDonnell Midfielder	76	0	0	0.07	43.1	–
Aaron Lewis Midfielder	14	0	0	0.03	40.8	–
Adedeji Oshilaja Defender	90	0	0	–	40.2	–
Ryan Sweeney Defender	90	0	0	–	39.3	–
Stephen McLaughlin Defender	13	0	0	–	37.1	–
Baily Cargill Defender	90	0	0	–	35.5	–
Frazer Blake-Tracy Defender	90	0	1	–	34.9	–
Victor Adeboyejo Forward	14	0	0	–	32.8	–
Nathan Moriah-Welsh Midfielder	76	0	0	0.22	30.8	–