Colombia 1–2 Croatia
Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 24% · Standout: Petar Sučić scored 86.4
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.9 – 1.2
- Actual xG
- 1.5 – 0.9
- Goals
- 1 – 2
Footybot made Colombia favourites at 54%.
Croatia won although Colombia made the better chances (1.5 xG to 0.9): a result the chances didn't back.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Petar Sučić, 86.4 in 61′.
Well above their usual level: Marco Pašalić +38.7, Petar Sučić +33.3, Igor Matanović +30.1.
Well below it: Josip Stanišić −17.2, James Rodríguez −13.8.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Colombia
| 19 Nov 2025 | W 3–0 | v Australia |
| 16 Nov 2025 | W 2–1 | v New Zealand |
| 15 Oct 2025 | D 0–0 | at Canada |
| 12 Oct 2025 | W 4–0 | at Mexico |
| 9 Sep 2025 | W 6–3 | at Venezuela |
Croatia
| 17 Nov 2025 | W 3–2 | at Montenegro |
| 14 Nov 2025 | W 3–1 | v Faroe Islands |
| 12 Oct 2025 | W 3–0 | v Gibraltar |
| 9 Oct 2025 | D 0–0 | at Czechia |
| 8 Sep 2025 | W 4–0 | v Montenegro |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Colombia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Fernando Quintero | 19 | 78.7 | – |
| Jhon Arias | 71 | 69.1 | +15.5 |
| Davinson Sánchez | 90 | 62.1 | +12.7 |
| Luis Díaz | 71 | 59.0 | −6.9 |
| Johan Mojica | 63 | 56.9 | +11.7 |
| Luis Javier Suárez | 71 | 56.4 | −0.2 |
| Richard Ríos | 71 | 56.3 | +3.8 |
| James Rodríguez | 63 | 55.7 | −13.8 |
| Kevin Castaño | 27 | 53.2 | – |
| Jhon Córdoba | 19 | 51.1 | – |
| Santiago Arias | 19 | 49.4 | – |
| Jefferson Lerma | 63 | 48.3 | −1.1 |
| Jhon Lucumí | 90 | 47.5 | −3.4 |
| Gustavo Puerta | 19 | 45.1 | – |
| Daniel Muñoz | 71 | 45.0 | −7.4 |
| Deiver Machado | 27 | 43.1 | – |
| Andrés Gómez | 19 | 42.4 | – |
| Camilo Vargas | 90 | 36.4 | – |
| Jorge Carrascal | 27 | 34.3 | – |
Croatia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Petar Sučić | 61 | 86.4 | +33.3 |
| Marco Pašalić | 79 | 82.2 | +38.7 |
| Igor Matanović | 45 | 77.1 | +30.1 |
| Ivan Perišić | 45 | 76.4 | +21.0 |
| Luka Vušković | 90 | 67.1 | +6.3 |
| Dominik Livaković | 90 | 60.1 | +10.3 |
| Luka Modrić | 11 | 53.9 | – |
| Petar Musa | 45 | 53.1 | +5.8 |
| Mario Pašalić | 79 | 52.6 | −1.6 |
| Nikola Moro | 83 | 52.0 | +5.3 |
| Nikola Vlašić | 61 | 51.8 | −3.4 |
| Martin Erlić | 79 | 51.7 | −5.7 |
| Andrej Kramarić | 11 | 48.3 | – |
| Kristijan Jakić | 11 | 48.0 | – |
| Martin Baturina | 29 | 48.0 | – |
| Marin Pongračić | 90 | 47.4 | −2.5 |
| Toni Fruk | 14 | 46.3 | – |
| Luka Sučić | 29 | 44.6 | – |
| Josip Stanišić | 45 | 37.5 | −17.2 |