Bundesliga 25/26 · 21 Feb 2026

RB Leipzig 2–2 Borussia Dortmund

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 24% · Standout: Fábio Silva scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Willi Orbán

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made RB Leipzig favourites at 40%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.8 xG to 1.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Fábio Silva, 100.0 in 19′.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score
David Raum Defender	90	0	1	–	70.0
Willi Orbán Defender	90	0	0	–	66.6
Christoph Baumgartner Midfielder	90	2	0	1.09	65.8
Yan Diomande Forward	89	0	1	0.06	64.4
Maarten Vandevoordt Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	57.7
Rômulo Forward	81	0	0	0.11	55.4
Nicolas Seiwald Midfielder	90	0	0	0.30	49.9
Castello Lukeba Defender	90	0	0	0.03	49.5
Ridle Baku Defender	82	0	0	0.11	47.6
Xaver Schlager Midfielder	65	0	0	–	46.3
Antonio Nusa Forward	25	0	0	0.09	44.5
Conrad Harder Forward	9	0	0	0.01	44.0
Brajan Gruda Midfielder	82	0	0	–	43.6
Benjamin Henrichs Defender	8	0	0	–	39.0
Ezechiel Banzuzi Midfielder	8	0	0	–	24.3
Max Finkgräfe Defender	1	0	0	–	0.0

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score
Fábio Silva Forward	19	1	0	0.41	100.0
Julian Ryerson Midfielder	90	0	0	–	67.1
Karim Adeyemi Forward	14	0	1	0.12	62.4
Carney Chukwuemeka Midfielder	25	0	0	–	61.2
Waldemar Anton Defender	90	0	0	0.08	54.6
Daniel Svensson Midfielder	90	0	0	–	53.2
Yan Couto Midfielder	26	0	0	–	48.3
Maximilian Beier Forward	64	0	0	0.24	47.8
Julian Brandt Forward	26	0	0	0.07	47.7
Ramy Bensebaini Defender	90	0	0	0.23	46.6
Luca Reggiani Defender	64	0	0	–	45.7
Jobe Bellingham Midfielder	90	0	0	–	44.4
Serhou Guirassy Forward	71	0	0	–	43.6
Marcel Sabitzer Midfielder	76	0	0	0.13	42.1
Felix Nmecha Midfielder	65	0	0	0.10	41.2
Gregor Kobel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	39.7