Serie A 25/26 · 27 Feb 2026

Parma 1–1 Cagliari

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Parma favourites at 51%.

Parma deserved more from the draw, creating 1.3 xG to 0.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Zé Pedro, 58.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Zé Pedro +14.6.

Well below it: Mariano Troilo −14.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

13 Sep 2025	Cagliari 2–0 Parma Serie A

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Nahuel Estévez Midfielder	15	0	–	59.7	–
Gaetano Oristanio Midfielder	45	1	0.19	53.7	+7.8
Edoardo Corvi Goalkeeper	90	0	–	53.2	+3.6
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Midfielder	45	0	0.02	51.4	+2.3
Lautaro Valenti Defender	90	0	0.03	50.5	+2.7
Gabriel Strefezza Forward	90	0	0.06	50.0	+7.0
Adrián Bernabé Midfielder	89	0	0.10	48.1	−5.7
Emanuele Valeri Midfielder	89	0	0.03	47.4	+3.7
Mandela Keita Midfielder	75	0	–	44.2	−2.3
Mariano Troilo Defender	90	0	0.07	44.1	−14.6
Mateo Pellegrino Forward	90	0	0.67	40.5	−5.8
Enrico Delprato Defender	45	0	0.09	39.3	−4.7
Christian Ordoñez Midfielder	45	0	0.05	38.4	−2.2
Sascha Britschgi Defender	90	0	–	33.9	−6.7
Benjamin Cremaschi Midfielder	8	0	–	21.8	–
Franco Carboni Midfielder	1	0	–	12.5	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Michael Folorunsho Midfielder	29	1	0	0.02	59.6	–
Zé Pedro Defender	90	0	0	–	58.2	+14.6
Adam Obert Defender	90	0	0	0.04	53.2	+6.5
Elia Caprile Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	52.5	+0.1
Semih Kılıçsoy Forward	61	0	0	0.15	50.1	+4.2
Marco Palestra Midfielder	90	0	0	0.11	49.0	+0.8
Alberto Dossena Defender	90	0	0	–	48.5	–
Joseph Liteta Midfielder	90	0	0	–	44.7	–
Ibrahim Sulemana Midfielder	87	0	0	0.02	44.5	+2.8
Sebastiano Esposito Forward	87	0	1	0.20	44.4	−5.1
Juan Rodríguez Defender	90	0	0	–	44.2	−6.7
Michel Adopo Midfielder	90	0	0	–	41.4	−3.8
Leonardo Pavoletti Forward	10	0	0	–	38.1	–
Riyad Idrissi Defender	10	0	0	–	19.8	–