Championship 25/26 · 10 Mar 2026

Stoke City 3–3 Ipswich Town

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Ipswich Town favourites at 42%.

Stoke City deserved more from the draw, creating 3.6 xG to 1.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Milan Smit, 54.8 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Milan Smit +10.9, Jun-Ho Bae +9.4.

Well below it: Eric Bocat −30.6, Darnell Furlong −12.0, Million Manhoef −10.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

7 Mar 2026	L 0–2	at Swansea City Championship
28 Feb 2026	L 1–2	at Coventry City Championship
25 Feb 2026	W 2–1	v Oxford United Championship
21 Feb 2026	D 2–2	v Leicester City Championship
11 Feb 2026	L 0–1	at Charlton Athletic Championship

7 Mar 2026	D 1–1	v Leicester City Championship
3 Mar 2026	W 1–0	v Hull City Championship
28 Feb 2026	W 3–0	v Swansea City Championship
24 Feb 2026	W 2–0	at Watford Championship
21 Feb 2026	L 3–5	at Wrexham Championship

10 Dec 2025	Ipswich Town 1–0 Stoke City Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Milan Smit Forward	90	2	0	1.57	54.8	+10.9
Lamine Cissé Forward	13	0	0	–	50.5	–
Tommy Simkin Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	45.2	−4.8
Jun-Ho Bae Midfielder	84	1	0	0.47	43.1	+9.4
Ashley Phillips Defender	90	0	0	0.34	42.9	−1.6
Maksym Talovierov Defender	90	0	0	–	39.5	+6.6
Tatsuki Seko Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	34.6	+0.5
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi Midfielder	90	0	0	0.10	32.7	−6.5
Tomáš Rigo Midfielder	90	0	1	0.82	32.0	−2.9
Junior Tchamadeu Defender	70	0	0	–	27.3	−5.9
Sydney Agina Defender	20	0	0	–	23.5	–
Million Manhoef Midfielder	90	0	0	0.21	19.8	−10.5
Ben Gibson Defender	20	0	0	–	14.7	–
Eric Bocat Defender	70	0	0	–	4.2	−30.6

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
George Hirst Forward	21	1	0	0.34	72.9	–
Jack Taylor Midfielder	69	1	0	0.10	45.1	+7.8
Jens-Lys Cajuste Midfielder	21	0	0	–	44.2	–
Christian Walton Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	39.9	−9.3
Cédric Kipré Defender	90	0	1	0.07	37.6	−0.6
Dan Neil Midfielder	11	0	0	–	35.6	–
Ivan Azón Forward	69	0	0	0.39	35.5	−3.9
Azor Matusiwa Midfielder	86	0	0	0.04	34.5	−6.4
Anis Mehmeti Forward	90	0	0	–	33.2	−5.9
Wes Burns Midfielder	75	0	0	0.17	32.2	−0.7
Jack Clarke Midfielder	86	0	0	0.06	31.7	−5.4
Dara O'Shea Defender	90	0	0	0.14	31.5	−5.7
Leif Davis Defender	90	0	0	0.16	25.0	−5.3
Ben Johnson Defender	11	0	0	–	20.1	–
Darnell Furlong Defender	90	0	0	–	18.1	−12.0
Kasey McAteer Midfielder	15	0	0	–	6.4	–