Wales 0–1 Canada
Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 21% · Standout: Junior Hoilett scored 100.0
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.3 – 1.3
- Actual xG
- –
- Goals
- 0 – 1
Footybot made Wales favourites at 59%.
No xG was recorded for this match, so only the result can be read.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ali Ahmed, 100.0 in 65′.
Well above their usual level: Richie Laryea +19.6, Ben Cabango +11.8, Tani Oluwaseyi +11.7.
Well below it: Tajon Buchanan −18.4, David Brooks −16.4.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Wales
| 4 Sep 2025 | W 1–0 | at Kazakhstan |
Canada
| 5 Sep 2025 | W 3–0 | at Romania |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Wales
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | 29 | 100.0 | – |
| Sorba Thomas | 20 | 100.0 | – |
| Kai Andrews | 20 | 82.3 | – |
| Chris Mepham | 9 | 74.6 | – |
| Joel Colwill | 28 | 70.8 | – |
| Ben Davies | 90 | 69.4 | – |
| Harry Wilson | 90 | 59.2 | +8.1 |
| Ben Cabango | 85 | 57.7 | +11.8 |
| Ronan Kpakio | 70 | 55.7 | – |
| Neco Williams | 61 | 55.5 | +8.3 |
| Jordan James | 62 | 55.0 | – |
| David Brooks | 62 | 52.1 | −16.4 |
| Mark Harris | 90 | 46.6 | +7.3 |
| Adam Davies | 90 | 45.5 | – |
| Daniel James | 90 | 45.3 | −0.9 |
| Charlie Crew | 70 | 40.1 | – |
| Lewis Koumas | 28 | 37.6 | – |
Canada
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Ahmed | 65 | 100.0 | – |
| Junior Hoilett | 25 | 100.0 | – |
| Derek Cornelius | 90 | 66.9 | – |
| Nathan-Dylan Saliba | 89 | 64.7 | – |
| Mathieu Choinière | 14 | 64.5 | – |
| Jacob Shaffelburg | 25 | 59.3 | – |
| Ismael Koné | 76 | 57.0 | +10.8 |
| Dayne St. Clair | 90 | 55.7 | −0.1 |
| Richie Laryea | 90 | 55.6 | +19.6 |
| Jonathan David | 65 | 55.3 | +5.6 |
| Tani Oluwaseyi | 76 | 52.6 | +11.7 |
| Jayden Nelson | 14 | 52.3 | – |
| Luc De Fougerolles | 90 | 51.4 | +4.3 |
| Theo Bair | 14 | 46.2 | – |
| Niko Sigur | 90 | 42.8 | – |
| Tajon Buchanan | 76 | 41.9 | −18.4 |
| Joel Waterman | 1 | 30.1 | – |