Africa Cup of Nations 2025 · 22 Dec 2025

Mali 1–1 Zambia

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Mali favourites at 60%.

Mali deserved more from the draw, creating 2.2 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Mathews Banda, 68.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Fashion Sakala +22.4, Patson Daka +15.4, El Bilal Touré +11.6.

Well below it: Amadou Dante −9.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

18 Nov 2025	D 0–0	at Jordan International Friendlies

16 Dec 2025	L 0–2	at DR Congo International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025	L 2–3	at Angola International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025	L 1–3	at South Africa International Friendlies

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Gaoussou Diarra Forward	14	0	–	65.0	–
Lassine Sinayoko Forward	90	1	0.88	57.5	+4.0
El Bilal Touré Midfielder	76	0	0.89	54.7	+11.6
Mamadou Sangare Midfielder	90	0	0.13	54.0	+2.9
Mahamadou Doumbia Midfielder	14	0	–	53.2	–
Abdoulaye Diaby Defender	90	0	–	47.3	–
Djigui Diarra Goalkeeper	90	0	–	42.9	–
Mamadou Fofana Defender	90	0	–	41.8	−0.3
Woyo Coulibaly Defender	90	0	0.01	41.4	−1.6
Dorgeles Nene Forward	76	0	0.19	41.4	−6.0
Aliou Dieng Midfielder	90	0	0.01	40.6	–
Kamory Doumbia Midfielder	86	0	0.12	37.7	−7.0
Amadou Dante Defender	90	0	–	35.9	−9.6
Amadou Haidara Midfielder	10	0	–	31.7	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
David Simukonda Midfielder	23	0	0	–	91.1	–
Joseph Sabobo Midfielder	23	0	0	–	76.1	–
Kennedy Musonda Forward	12	0	0	–	70.7	–
Mathews Banda Defender	90	0	1	–	68.7	–
Fashion Sakala Midfielder	78	0	0	–	61.1	+22.4
Patson Daka Forward	90	1	0	0.46	58.4	+15.4
Willard Mwanza Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	58.1	–
Kings Kangwa Midfielder	90	0	0	–	54.0	–
Lubambo Musonda Midfielder	90	0	0	–	50.9	+9.4
Benson Sakala Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	49.6	–
Miguel Changa Chaiwa Midfielder	67	0	0	–	49.0	+11.1
Lameck Banda Midfielder	67	0	0	–	47.2	+5.0
Dominic Chanda Defender	90	0	0	0.27	45.5	–
Owen Tembo Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	44.2	–