Africa Cup of Nations 2025 · 27 Dec 2025

Senegal 1–1 DR Congo

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 15% · Standout: Joris Kayembe scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Senegal favourites at 75%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.4 xG to 1.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Cédric Bakambu, 79.7 in 66′.

Well above their usual level: Cédric Bakambu +35.0, Sadio Mané +16.7, Arthur Masuaku +16.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

23 Dec 2025	W 3–0	v Botswana Africa Cup of Nations
18 Nov 2025	W 8–0	at Kenya International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025	L 0–2	at Brazil International Friendlies
4 Jul 2025	D 0–0	v Guinea International Friendlies

23 Dec 2025	W 1–0	v Benin Africa Cup of Nations
16 Dec 2025	W 2–0	v Zambia International Friendlies

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Ibrahim Mbaye Forward	28	0	0.15	73.2	–
Krépin Diatta Midfielder	90	0	–	66.9	+15.8
Sadio Mané Midfielder	90	1	0.41	63.9	+16.7
Nicolas Jackson Forward	81	0	0.27	57.9	+4.6
Ismaïla Sarr Forward	62	0	0.45	57.3	+2.4
Kalidou Koulibaly Defender	90	0	–	57.0	+4.7
Iliman Ndiaye Midfielder	89	0	–	56.5	+7.7
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly Midfielder	1	0	–	54.6	–
Idrissa Gana Gueye Midfielder	90	0	–	54.3	+2.6
Moussa Niakhaté Defender	90	0	–	53.8	+3.9
Pape Gueye Midfielder	81	0	0.09	49.3	+2.7
Edouard Mendy Goalkeeper	90	0	–	47.7	−0.4
Ismail Jakobs Defender	90	0	–	43.8	−1.4
Habibou Diallo Forward	9	0	–	39.5	–
Lamine Camara Midfielder	9	0	–	37.3	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Joris Kayembe Defender	17	0	–	100.0	–
Fiston Mayele Forward	24	0	0.17	84.6	–
Cédric Bakambu Forward	66	1	0.74	79.7	+35.0
Arthur Masuaku Defender	73	0	–	64.8	+16.3
Chancel Mbemba Defender	90	0	0.04	63.0	+15.6
Ngal'ayel Mukau Midfielder	73	0	–	62.2	+15.1
Michel Ange Balikwisha Forward	8	0	–	61.2	–
Axel Tuanzebe Defender	90	0	–	60.3	+15.7
Théo Bongonda Midfielder	66	0	0.23	53.3	–
Nathanaël Mbuku Midfielder	24	0	0.04	53.3	–
Samuel Moutoussamy Midfielder	90	0	–	52.2	–
Aaron Wan-Bissaka Defender	90	0	–	52.1	+4.4
Lionel Mpasi Nzau Goalkeeper	90	0	–	50.2	–
Meschak Elia Forward	87	0	–	46.9	+8.6
Edo Kayembe Midfielder	17	0	–	46.4	–
Noah Sadiki Midfielder	90	0	0.04	41.2	−6.1