FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Liga Portugal 25/26 · 12 Sep 2025

FC Alverca 1–0 Tondela

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.9 – 1.0
Actual xG
1.8 – 2.4
Goals
1 – 0

Footybot made FC Alverca favourites at 58%.

FC Alverca won although Tondela made the better chances (2.4 xG to 1.8): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: André Gomes, 69.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: André Gomes +29.7, Kaiky Naves +17.0, Bernardo Fontes +13.6.

Well below it: Emmanuel Maviram −19.5, Marko Milovanović −15.7, Tiago Manso −14.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

FC Alverca

31 Aug 2025L 1–2v Benfica Liga Portugal
25 Aug 2025D 2–2at CF Estrela Amadora Liga Portugal
17 Aug 2025L 0–3v Sporting Braga Liga Portugal
10 Aug 2025L 1–2at Moreirense Liga Portugal

Tondela

31 Aug 2025D 2–2v Estoril Praia Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2025L 0–3at Benfica Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2025L 0–1v Famalicão Liga Portugal
10 Aug 2025L 0–3at Sporting Braga Liga Portugal

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

FC Alverca

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
André Gomes Goalkeeper9000–69.9+29.7
Kaiky Naves Defender9000–61.8+17.0
Bastien Meupiyou Defender9000–49.8+11.2
Nabil Touaizi Midfielder90000.0449.3–
Figueiredo Forward85000.1147.2–
Sandro Lima Forward2300–44.6–
Francisco Chissumba Midfielder90000.5044.5–
Sergi Gómez Defender7100–44.3+4.2
Alexsandro Amorim Midfielder9000–43.3−6.3
Sabit Abdulai Midfielder71000.0143.3–
Gian Cabezas Midfielder1200–43.2–
Marko Milovanović Forward67000.0438.4−15.7
Lincoln Midfielder85000.1037.0–
Cédric Nuozzi Forward12000.3033.4–
Davy Gui Midfielder19000.6929.3–
Steven Baseya Defender19000.0526.0–

Tondela

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Jordan Siebatcheu Forward19000.0964.6–
Maranhão Midfielder1100–60.0–
Bernardo Fontes Goalkeeper9000–58.4+13.6
Brayan Medina Defender90000.9355.0–
Rony Lopes Forward71000.1547.0–
Yaya Sithole Midfielder7900–46.8–
Yarlen Forward3300–46.3–
Juan Rodríguez Midfielder9000–44.4–
Christian Marques Defender90000.1743.6–
Tiago Manso Defender57000.8341.8−14.5
Ivan Cavaleiro Midfielder90000.1341.6–
Yefrei Rodriguez Forward90000.0337.5–
Bebeto Defender79000.0237.3–
Hugo Félix Midfielder11000.0134.7–
Rémy Vita Defender3300–33.2–
Emmanuel Maviram Defender5700–29.0−19.5