Matchday

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026, Playoff round · 30 Jul 2026

Grêmio 0–1 Bolívar

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jun 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.7 – 0.7
Actual xG
2.4 – 1.2
Goals
0 – 1

Footybot made Grêmio favourites at 62%.

Bolívar won although Grêmio made the better chances (2.4 xG to 1.2): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Carlos Lampe, 79.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Carlos Lampe +29.3, Gustavo Martins +15.0.

Well below it: Marlon −21.8, Leonel Justiniano −14.6, Erick Noriega −11.3.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Grêmio

26 Jul 2026D 1–1v Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
23 Jul 2026L 2–3at Bolívar Copa Sudamericana
17 Jul 2026L 1–2at Mirassol Brasileirão Série A
30 May 2026L 1–3v Corinthians Brasileirão Série A
26 May 2026D 2–2v Montevideo City Torque Copa Sudamericana

Bolívar

23 Jul 2026W 3–2v Grêmio Copa Sudamericana
28 May 2026L 1–3v Independiente Rivadavia Copa Libertadores
19 May 2026L 1–2at Fluminense Copa Libertadores
6 May 2026D 1–1at Deportivo La Guaira Copa Libertadores
30 Apr 2026W 2–0v Fluminense Copa Libertadores

Head to head

23 Jul 2026Bolívar 3–2 Grêmio Copa Sudamericana

Grêmio

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Gabriel Mec Midfielder32000.1967.3–
Gustavo Martins Defender90000.1266.6+15.0
Gabriel Grando Goalkeeper9000–56.6+0.6
Tetê Forward58000.0754.8+7.5
Cristian Pavón Midfielder90000.0152.0−1.8
Walter Kannemann Defender90000.0950.7+3.3
Pedro Gabriel Defender4500–47.4+5.9
Mathias Villasanti Midfielder4500–45.9−0.8
Juan Nardoni Midfielder4500–40.8−2.2
Martin Braithwaite Forward90001.1639.7−4.6
Matheus Nascimento Forward45000.4338.1–
José Enamorado Forward32000.2237.7–
Dodi Midfielder4500–37.5−8.0
Francis Amuzu Midfielder58000.0237.1−4.8
Erick Noriega Midfielder90000.0235.4−11.3
Marlon Defender53000.0122.0−21.8

Bolívar

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Leonardo Zabala Defender100–100.0–
Carlos Lampe Goalkeeper9000–79.9+29.3
Luis Paz Defender100–71.8–
Dairon Asprilla Forward89100.0852.7–
Ervin Vaca Midfielder100–48.1–
Jesús Sagredo Defender90000.0347.4−3.5
Carlos Melgar Midfielder89000.0647.3−0.0
Xavier Arreaga Defender9000–47.1−6.1
Erwin Saavedra Midfielder11000.0245.2–
Dorny Romero Forward90000.4445.1+2.0
Patricio Rodríguez Forward89000.4044.4−4.1
Santiago Echeverria Defender9000–41.6−2.3
Robson Matheus Midfielder79010.1540.8−9.4
José Sagredo Defender90000.0137.3−4.6
Leonel Justiniano Midfielder90000.0230.0−14.6