FOOTYBOT
Matchday

VriendenLoterij Eredivisie 25/26 · 21 Sep 2025

PSV Eindhoven 2–2 AFC Ajax

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 22% · Standout: Mauro Júnior scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Esmir Bajraktarević

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.9 – 1.1
Actual xG
1.0 – 1.1
Goals
2 – 2

Footybot made PSV Eindhoven favourites at 57%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.0 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Kenneth Taylor, 80.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Vítězslav Jaroš +10.6.

Well below it: Joey Veerman −11.7, Ko Itakura −10.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

PSV Eindhoven

16 Sep 2025L 1–3v Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Champions League
13 Sep 2025W 5–3at NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie
30 Aug 2025L 0–2v SC Telstar Eredivisie
23 Aug 2025W 4–2v FC Groningen Eredivisie
17 Aug 2025W 2–0at FC Twente Eredivisie

AFC Ajax

17 Sep 2025L 0–2v Inter Champions League
13 Sep 2025W 3–1v PEC Zwolle Eredivisie
30 Aug 2025D 1–1at FC Volendam Eredivisie
24 Aug 2025W 2–0v Heracles Almelo Eredivisie
17 Aug 2025D 2–2at Go Ahead Eagles Eredivisie

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

PSV Eindhoven

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Mauro Júnior Defender2101–100.0–
Joey Veerman Midfielder9000–67.4−11.7
Ruben van Bommel Forward40000.9658.7–
Ryan Flamingo Defender9000–58.4−5.5
Guus Til Midfielder2100–51.7–
Esmir Bajraktarević Forward50000.0249.5–

AFC Ajax

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Kenneth Taylor Midfielder90111.1580.4–
Vítězslav Jaroš Goalkeeper9000–66.4+10.6
Kian Fitz-Jim Midfielder2200–60.2–
Steven Berghuis Forward1600–51.5–
Ko Itakura Defender9000–51.1−10.8
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Forward7400–50.5–
Raúl Moro Midfielder800–29.7–