Norwich City 2–1 Birmingham City
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.7 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 0.8 – 1.8
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Norwich City favourites at 53%.
Norwich City won although Birmingham City made the better chances (1.8 xG to 0.8): a result the chances didn't back.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Papa Amadou Diallo, 56.8 in 45′.
Well above their usual level: Carlos Vicente +17.6, Papa Amadou Diallo +16.3, Jay Stansfield +16.2.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Norwich City
| 5 Sep 2026 | W 3–1 | at Sheffield United |
| 1 Sep 2026 | L 0–1 | at Stoke City |
| 29 Aug 2026 | W 4–1 | v Burnley |
| 25 Aug 2026 | W 2–1 | at Cardiff City |
| 22 Aug 2026 | L 0–3 | at Millwall |
Birmingham City
| 6 Sep 2026 | D 2–2 | v Wolverhampton |
| 1 Sep 2026 | D 1–1 | v Southampton |
| 28 Aug 2026 | W 2–1 | at Wrexham |
| 25 Aug 2026 | L 1–6 | v Brentford |
| 22 Aug 2026 | D 2–2 | v Bristol City |
Head to head
| 21 Feb 2026 | Norwich City 1–2 Birmingham City |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Birmingham City 4–1 Norwich City |
Norwich City
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Papa Amadou Diallo | 45 | 56.8 | +16.3 |
| Jacob Wright | 26 | 49.6 | – |
| Ruairi McConville | 97 | 49.0 | +2.7 |
| Oscar Schwartau | 71 | 47.4 | +13.4 |
| Ben Chrisene | 91 | 46.5 | +12.8 |
| Pelle Mattsson | 97 | 45.0 | +6.5 |
| Vladan Kovačević | 97 | 44.6 | −2.7 |
| Mathias Kvistgaarden | 71 | 40.2 | +2.2 |
| Jack Stacey | 97 | 39.5 | +12.1 |
| Jovon Makama | 26 | 37.7 | – |
| Andre Brooks | 65 | 36.6 | −2.6 |
| Kenny McLean | 97 | 36.5 | −2.6 |
| Anthony Musaba | 52 | 35.8 | −4.7 |
| José Córdoba | 97 | 34.3 | −5.0 |
| Ante Crnac | 32 | 34.0 | – |
| Harry Darling | 6 | 30.2 | – |
Birmingham City
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Laird | 35 | 58.5 | – |
| Christoph Klarer | 97 | 55.8 | +7.0 |
| Jay Stansfield | 97 | 49.8 | +16.2 |
| Carlos Vicente | 97 | 49.6 | +17.6 |
| Seung Ho Paik | 97 | 46.7 | +7.9 |
| James Beadle | 97 | 46.2 | −4.9 |
| Liam Millar | 97 | 45.3 | +5.3 |
| Phil Neumann | 97 | 43.1 | −5.0 |
| August Priske | 82 | 38.7 | −0.3 |
| Luis Vázquez | 15 | 36.9 | – |
| Kristoffer Lund | 62 | 35.8 | −7.3 |
| Marvin Ducksch | 15 | 34.1 | – |
| Bright Osayi-Samuel | 62 | 33.7 | −0.6 |
| Tomoki Iwata | 82 | 29.6 | −7.0 |
| Alex Cochrane | 35 | 21.2 | – |