Championship 26/27 · 12 Sep 2026

Bolton Wanderers 1–0 Cardiff City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Bolton Wanderers 37%, the draw 27%, Cardiff City 37%.

Bolton Wanderers won although Cardiff City made the better chances (1.8 xG to 0.4): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gavin Bazunu, 72.8 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Gavin Bazunu +26.0.

Well below it: Rúben Rodrigues −18.9, Perry Ng −14.6, Theo Bair −14.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

8 Sep 2026	L 2–3	v West Ham United Championship
5 Sep 2026	L 0–4	at Millwall Championship
1 Sep 2026	L 2–3	at Sheffield United Championship
29 Aug 2026	L 0–1	v Lincoln City Championship
22 Aug 2026	D 0–0	at Queens Park Rangers Championship

8 Sep 2026	D 1–1	v Stoke City Championship
5 Sep 2026	L 0–2	at Portsmouth Championship
2 Sep 2026	L 1–2	at Queens Park Rangers Championship
29 Aug 2026	D 2–2	v Sheffield United Championship
25 Aug 2026	L 1–2	v Norwich City EFL Cup

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Gavin Bazunu Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	72.8	+26.0
Thierry Gale Midfielder	45	1	0	0.05	42.2	+1.7
Max Conway Defender	90	0	0	0.12	41.5	+1.9
Ben Davies Defender	90	0	0	–	40.8	−4.2
Josh Sheehan Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	38.5	−4.3
Eoin Toal Defender	90	0	0	–	37.7	−8.4
Atsuki Ito Midfielder	26	0	0	–	36.9	–
Gaizka Larrazabal Midfielder	90	0	0	–	36.2	−4.6
Sam Dalby Forward	45	0	0	–	35.8	−5.1
Ethan Erhahon Midfielder	83	0	0	–	35.6	−11.6
Theo Bair Forward	45	0	1	–	33.5	−14.2
Ryan Hardie Forward	12	0	0	–	33.3	–
Rúben Rodrigues Midfielder	64	0	0	0.03	32.5	−18.9
Jayden Nelson Forward	15	0	0	–	26.3	–
Kyliane Dong Midfielder	75	0	0	0.06	24.8	−12.9
Samuel Iling Junior Midfielder	45	0	0	0.12	21.7	−12.5

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Chris Willock Midfielder	74	0.20	50.6	+5.9
Gabriel Osho Defender	90	–	47.9	−3.0
Nathan Trott Goalkeeper	90	–	45.5	−3.6
Callum Robinson Forward	15	0.13	44.7	–
David Turnbull Midfielder	31	–	44.3	–
Yousef Salech Forward	75	0.63	43.9	+5.4
Cian Ashford Midfielder	16	0.05	43.7	–
Krystian Bielik Defender	90	0.29	41.2	−8.6
Joel Bagan Defender	89	–	38.1	−0.7
Alex Robertson Midfielder	89	0.02	37.9	−8.1
Ollie Tanner Midfielder	90	0.12	34.6	−3.4
Joel Colwill Midfielder	59	0.15	33.4	−7.8
Jack Moylan Midfielder	90	0.22	33.2	−3.5
Perry Ng Defender	90	–	27.2	−14.6
Calum Scanlon Defender	1	–	0.0	–
Ronan Kpakio Defender	1	–	0.0	–