FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Premiership 26/27 · 17 Oct 2026

Kilmarnock 3–2 Motherwell

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.2 – 1.4
Actual xG
1.5 – 2.6
Goals
3 – 2

Footybot made Motherwell favourites at 42%.

Kilmarnock won although Motherwell made the better chances (2.6 xG to 1.5): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Calum Ferrie, 67.3 in 96′.

Well above their usual level: Greg Kiltie +19.6, Sebastian Palmer-Houlden +12.1, Tyreece John-Jules +11.6.

Well below it: Stephen O'Donnell −20.9, Cathal McCarthy −16.3, Alex Paulsen −15.6.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Kilmarnock

10 Oct 2026L 1–3at Rangers Scottish Premiership
19 Sep 2026D 1–1v Heart of Midlothian Scottish Premiership
15 Sep 2026W 1–0at Hibernian Scottish Premiership
5 Sep 2026D 0–0at Aberdeen Scottish Premiership
2 Sep 2026L 0–1v St. Mirren Scottish Premiership

Motherwell

11 Oct 2026L 0–2v Celtic Scottish Premiership
19 Sep 2026L 1–2at Dundee FC Scottish Premiership
15 Sep 2026L 0–4v Aberdeen Scottish Premiership
5 Sep 2026L 0–1at Rangers Scottish Premiership
2 Sep 2026W 3–0v Dundee United Scottish Premiership

Head to head

24 Jan 2026Motherwell 4–0 Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership
22 Nov 2025Kilmarnock 1–3 Motherwell Scottish Premiership
30 Aug 2025Motherwell 2–2 Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Calum Ferrie Goalkeeper9600–67.3–
Tyreece John-Jules Forward77100.3955.8+11.6
Greg Kiltie Midfielder77200.6354.6+19.6
Michael John Kamara Defender3300–36.6–
Tom Lowery Midfielder96000.0736.6−1.7
Aaron Tshibola Midfielder6100–34.6−2.4
Jamie Brandon Defender6302–34.0+8.8
Joe Hugill Forward96000.2133.5−6.9
Djenairo Daniels Forward1900–31.6–
Erik Ring Midfielder96000.1231.2−3.8
Bailey Rice Midfielder3500–30.4–
George Stanger Defender9600–28.7−14.2
Michael Schjønning-Larsen Defender9600–27.0−8.1
Ieuan Owen Forward19000.0925.1–
Cathal McCarthy Defender9600–22.5−16.3

Motherwell

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden Forward68101.6852.4+12.1
Lukas Fadinger Midfielder7500–44.2+0.1
Jake Girdwood-Reich Defender2800–38.0–
Joe Hodge Midfielder96000.0337.9−3.5
Alex Paulsen Goalkeeper9600–37.3−15.6
Tawanda Maswanhise Forward96000.2336.1−3.9
Eythor Bjørgolfsson Forward2800–35.9–
Martin Moormann Defender6800–32.8−11.1
Emmanuel Longelo Defender9600–31.8+1.4
Alex Lowry Midfielder68100.4830.3−7.2
Ibrahim Said Midfielder96000.1030.3−8.6
Dylan Levitt Midfielder2100–27.8–
Jardell Kanga Midfielder2800–26.6–
Tom Sparrow Defender8100–24.3−12.5
Johnny Koutroumbis Defender15000.0621.4–
Stephen O'Donnell Defender9600–15.8−20.9