FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Ligue 1 26/27 · 10 Oct 2026

AS Monaco 2–2 Toulouse

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 21% · Standout: Ismail Diallo scored 89.1 · Breakout watch: Sadibou Sané

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.0 – 1.1
Actual xG
1.1 – 1.4
Goals
2 – 2

Footybot made AS Monaco favourites at 58%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.1 xG to 1.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Casper Tengstedt, 63.3 in 84′.

Well above their usual level: Vanderson +14.3, Casper Tengstedt +9.1, Ilyas Azizi +8.4.

Well below it: Mark McKenzie −11.2, Cristian Cásseres Jr. −10.6, Guillaume Restes −10.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

AS Monaco

18 Sep 2026W 2–1v RC Lens Ligue 1
12 Sep 2026D 1–1at RC Strasbourg Ligue 1
4 Sep 2026W 2–1at Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1
30 Aug 2026W 2–0v Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1
27 Aug 2026W 4–1v Górnik Zabrze Conference League

Toulouse

19 Sep 2026W 3–2v Le Havre Ligue 1
12 Sep 2026D 2–2at Lorient Ligue 1
3 Sep 2026L 0–1v Lille Ligue 1
29 Aug 2026D 2–2at Stade Brestois Ligue 1
22 Aug 2026L 0–2v Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1

Head to head

25 Apr 2026Toulouse 2–2 AS Monaco Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025AS Monaco 1–0 Toulouse Ligue 1

AS Monaco

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo Midfielder32000.1163.7–
Vanderson Defender7500–60.6+14.3
Sadibou Sané Defender9000–57.1+7.0
Eric Dier Defender9000–55.4+1.3
Jordan Teze Midfielder1500–54.3–
Ansu Fati Forward15000.0951.3–
Lamine Camara Midfielder90000.2450.6−5.4
Matthis Abline Forward75100.1650.3−2.7
Edan Diop Midfielder58110.1550.0+1.8
Lukáš Hrádecký Goalkeeper9000–49.8−5.5
Denis Zakaria Midfielder5100–47.7−4.2
Mathys Detourbet Midfielder58000.1945.5−1.6
Aleksandr Golovin Midfielder90010.1044.2−3.7
Nazinho Defender9000–42.9+3.4
Safouane Benzahra Midfielder3900–35.9–
Folarin Balogun Forward32000.0131.2–

Toulouse

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Ismail Diallo Defender1300–89.1–
Aron Dønnum Midfielder1200–64.2–
Casper Tengstedt Forward84110.8663.3+9.1
Sion Oppong Midfielder45100.3060.4–
Cristian Cásseres Jr. Midfielder90000.0254.9−10.6
Christ Tapé Defender9000–54.6+6.6
Ilyas Azizi Forward71000.0653.4+8.4
Niko Sigur Defender1900–52.7–
Rafik Messali Midfielder7700–47.2−1.7
Seny Koumbassa Defender9000–46.0+3.4
Alexis Vossah Midfielder8400–43.4+0.3
Guillaume Restes Goalkeeper9000–43.4−10.1
Thomas Jørgensen Midfielder90000.1143.0−7.9
Santiago Hidalgo Forward1200–42.9–
Mark McKenzie Defender9000–42.3−11.2
Jacen Russell Rowe Forward45000.0239.6−9.3