Liga Portugal 26/27 · 11 Oct 2026

FC Arouca 1–0 CF Estrela Amadora

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made FC Arouca favourites at 58%.

FC Arouca won although CF Estrela Amadora made the better chances (1.5 xG to 0.7): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ianis Stoica, 63.5 in 61′.

Well above their usual level: Luan Patrick +18.1, Ianis Stoica +12.0, Santiago Serra +9.9.

Well below it: Pablo Gozálbez −15.8, Alfonso Trezza −14.0, Tiago Esgaio −12.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

19 Sep 2026	D 2–2	at Sporting CP Liga Portugal
13 Sep 2026	L 1–2	v Santa Clara Liga Portugal
7 Sep 2026	D 0–0	at Estoril Praia Liga Portugal
29 Aug 2026	W 2–1	v CS Marítimo Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2026	L 0–2	at FC Porto Liga Portugal

20 Sep 2026	L 0–2	v Académico Viseu FC Liga Portugal
14 Sep 2026	D 3–3	at Rio Ave Liga Portugal
10 Sep 2026	W 2–1	v Sporting Braga Liga Portugal
5 Sep 2026	D 2–2	v Famalicão Liga Portugal
30 Aug 2026	W 3–2	at CD Nacional Liga Portugal

19 Apr 2026	FC Arouca 1–0 CF Estrela Amadora Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025	CF Estrela Amadora 3–1 FC Arouca Liga Portugal

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ignacio de Arruabarrena Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	55.8	+6.2
Gabriel Rukavina Midfielder	25	0	0	–	50.6	–
Ivan Barbero Forward	65	1	0	0.05	49.1	+0.2
Naïs Djouahra Midfielder	65	0	1	0.01	46.5	+0.6
Brian Mansilla Forward	10	0	0	0.07	44.6	–
Jose Fontán Defender	90	0	0	–	44.0	−11.9
Taichi Fukui Midfielder	79	0	0	–	43.0	−9.7
Javi Sánchez Defender	90	0	0	–	42.5	−11.4
Dylan Nandín Forward	25	0	0	0.27	39.4	–
Pedro Santos Midfielder	33	0	0	–	37.9	–
Espen Van Ee Midfielder	90	0	0	–	37.7	−6.9
Orest Lebedenko Defender	90	0	0	–	34.4	−10.3
Hyun-ju Lee Midfielder	11	0	0	–	33.3	–
Tiago Esgaio Defender	90	0	0	0.25	32.1	−12.4
Alfonso Trezza Midfielder	80	0	0	0.09	31.3	−14.0
Pablo Gozálbez Midfielder	57	0	0	–	29.7	−15.8

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Kevin Höög Jansson Midfielder	1	–	100.0	–
Jefferson Encada Defender	28	–	73.2	–
Ianis Stoica Forward	61	1.04	63.5	+12.0
Luan Patrick Defender	90	–	60.3	+18.1
Emerson Pedro Vanga Midfielder	8	–	56.4	–
Santiago Serra Midfielder	89	0.32	54.7	+9.9
Léo Linck Goalkeeper	90	–	54.6	+5.8
Stefan Leković Defender	90	0.02	52.9	+5.9
Max Scholze Defender	62	–	48.1	+0.4
Eddy Doué Midfielder	82	0.02	47.8	−0.7
Lovro Zvonarek Midfielder	89	0.05	46.7	+6.2
Leandro Antonetti Forward	90	–	42.0	−4.6
Abraham Marcus Midfielder	90	0.01	41.4	−10.8
Rafa Soares Defender	90	–	40.2	−3.8
Bénito Midfielder	29	–	38.8	–
Alisson Souza de Jesus Midfielder	1	–	35.0	–