Serie A 26/27 · 12 Oct 2026

Atalanta 3–1 Venezia

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Atalanta favourites at 71%.

Atalanta won although Venezia made the better chances (2.6 xG to 2.1): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Antoine Hainaut, 82.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Antoine Hainaut +35.9, Richie Sagrado +22.2, Toma Bašić +16.1.

Well below it: Davide Zappacosta −14.0, Jonathan Rowe −13.9, Eljif Elmas −12.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

20 Sep 2026	L 0–2	at Juventus Serie A
12 Sep 2026	L 1–2	v Cagliari Serie A
5 Sep 2026	L 1–2	at AS Roma Serie A
31 Aug 2026	W 1–0	v Bologna Serie A
27 Aug 2026	W 1–0	at Hapoel Tel Aviv Conference League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nikola Krstović Forward	90	2	1	1.00	61.1	+10.4
Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	55.0	−1.2
Lazar Samardžić Midfielder	30	0	0	–	54.6	–
Sead Kolašinac Defender	23	0	0	–	49.6	–
Thomas Kristensen Defender	90	0	0	0.13	48.2	−5.0
Raoul Bellanova Midfielder	67	0	0	–	44.6	−8.3
Franck Kessié Midfielder	76	1	0	0.38	43.9	−3.9
Giorgio Scalvini Defender	67	0	0	–	43.6	−9.0
Lorenzo Bernasconi Midfielder	23	0	0	–	43.0	–
Éderson Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	42.2	−4.0
Gianluca Gaetano Midfielder	14	0	0	–	41.0	–
Charles De Ketelaere Forward	60	0	0	0.16	40.4	−12.3
Jonathan Rowe Forward	76	0	0	0.24	36.2	−13.9
Davide Zappacosta Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	35.3	−14.0
Eljif Elmas Midfielder	89	0	1	0.04	34.9	−12.9
Nicola Zalewski Midfielder	14	0	0	0.04	28.7	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Albion Rrahmani Forward	3	0	0	0.03	100.0	–
Antoine Hainaut Midfielder	90	1	0	0.44	82.7	+35.9
Toma Bašić Midfielder	83	0	0	0.11	64.6	+16.1
John Yeboah Forward	90	0	0	1.07	64.3	+14.7
Richie Sagrado Midfielder	82	0	1	0.02	64.1	+22.2
Þórir Jóhann Helgason Midfielder	11	0	0	–	61.9	–
Juan Jesus Defender	90	0	0	–	61.9	+12.2
Joel Schingtienne Defender	11	0	0	0.21	60.7	–
Simon Sohm Midfielder	87	0	0	–	57.6	+10.7
Redouane Halhal Defender	90	0	0	0.08	56.3	+3.1
Akor Adams Forward	83	0	0	0.60	51.6	+5.8
Matias Moreno Defender	83	0	0	–	51.2	+2.0
Filip Stanković Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	46.3	−4.6
Kike Pérez Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	44.0	−3.9
Lion Lauberbach Forward	11	0	0	–	36.7	–
Thierry Correia Defender	8	0	0	–	23.1	–