FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Premiership 26/27 · 17 Oct 2026

Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk FC

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.6 – 0.8
Actual xG
1.3 – 0.8
Goals
1 – 2

Footybot made Hibernian favourites at 56%.

Falkirk FC won although Hibernian made the better chances (1.3 xG to 0.8): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jacob Murrell, 58.0 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Jacob Murrell +19.0, Scott Tanser +16.0, Lewis Neilson +14.0.

Well below it: Thibault Klidjé −21.9, Raphael Sallinger −14.7, Jason Kerr −11.9.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Hibernian

10 Oct 2026L 0–1at Dundee United Scottish Premiership
19 Sep 2026D 1–1v Aberdeen Scottish Premiership
15 Sep 2026L 0–1v Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership
6 Sep 2026L 1–2at St. Johnstone Scottish Premiership
3 Sep 2026L 1–3v Heart of Midlothian Scottish Premiership

Falkirk FC

10 Oct 2026L 1–2v Dundee FC Scottish Premiership
19 Sep 2026D 1–1at St. Johnstone Scottish Premiership
15 Sep 2026W 2–1v Heart of Midlothian Scottish Premiership
5 Sep 2026D 1–1at Dundee United Scottish Premiership
2 Sep 2026L 1–2v Rangers Scottish Premiership

Head to head

9 May 2026Falkirk FC 1–3 Hibernian Scottish Premiership
24 Jan 2026Falkirk FC 4–1 Hibernian Scottish Premiership
6 Dec 2025Hibernian 3–0 Falkirk FC Scottish Premiership
23 Sep 2025Falkirk FC 2–2 Hibernian Scottish Premiership

Hibernian

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Owen Elding Forward90100.4644.9+7.1
Ante Šuto Forward1400–43.8–
Marko Ivezić Defender9000–43.6–
Raphael Sallinger Goalkeeper9000–39.7−14.7
Felix Passlack Midfielder90010.1339.4+3.2
Jason Kerr Defender9000–36.5−11.9
Rabbi Matondo Forward3000–35.4–
Jamie McGrath Midfielder29000.2734.5–
Martin Boyle Forward90000.1934.4−9.9
Azeem Abdulai Midfielder61000.0733.6–
Adam Mayor Midfielder76000.0732.6−0.4
Miguel Changa Chaiwa Midfielder7600–32.2−6.5
Josh Mulligan Midfielder90000.0632.1−7.1
Thibault Klidjé Forward60000.1020.6−21.9
Nicky Cadden Midfielder1400–6.8–

Falkirk FC

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Finn Yeats Midfielder1000–80.3–
Jacob Murrell Forward90200.3758.0+19.0
Lewis Neilson Defender9000–57.5+14.0
Deniss Melniks Defender2500–56.7–
Scott Bain Goalkeeper9000–47.9−1.6
Calvin Fodrey Midfielder1300–46.1–
Scott Tanser Defender4500–41.4+16.0
Ben Krauhaus Midfielder65000.0540.4+0.9
Liam Henderson Defender9000–40.2−2.9
Ethan Ross Forward7701–40.1−0.4
Finley Barbrook Midfielder84000.1138.7−2.0
Jack McMillan Midfielder1000–36.6–
Brad Spencer Midfielder9000–36.6−2.7
Owen Eames Midfielder84000.2034.6−4.5
Ryan Strain Midfielder90010.0333.6−3.4
Leon McCann Defender4500–20.7−11.7