Liga Portugal 25/26 · 3 Oct 2025

Casa Pia 2–2 Estoril Praia

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Casa Pia favourites at 47%.

A draw the chances agree with: 0.9 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Nodar Lominadze, 61.2 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Nodar Lominadze +11.5.

Well below it: Pedro Carvalho −21.4, David Sousa −14.3, Renato Nhaga −14.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

27 Sep 2025	L 0–1	v Sporting CP Liga Portugal
21 Sep 2025	L 0–2	at Gil Vicente Liga Portugal
13 Sep 2025	W 3–1	v AVS - Futebol SAD Liga Portugal
6 Sep 2025	L 0–1	v Santa Clara Liga Portugal
31 Aug 2025	D 2–2	at Tondela Liga Portugal

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jérémy Livolant Forward	90	1	1	0.23	59.8	+3.3
Kaique Rocha Defender	88	1	0	0.16	49.5	–
José Fonte Defender	90	0	0	–	47.3	−1.9
Sebastián Pérez Midfielder	88	0	0	0.04	47.0	+7.0
Tiago Morais Forward	27	0	0	–	44.2	–
Iyad Mohamed Midfielder	17	0	0	–	43.6	–
Gaizka Larrazabal Midfielder	90	0	0	0.11	43.4	−0.1
Daniel Azevedo Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	42.3	–
David Sousa Defender	90	0	0	0.02	40.0	−14.3
Dailon Rocha Livramento Forward	73	0	0	0.37	39.5	–
Miguel Sousa Midfielder	63	0	0	–	38.1	–
João Goulart Defender	2	0	0	–	37.2	–
Cassiano Forward	17	0	0	–	35.6	–
Renato Nhaga Midfielder	73	0	0	–	32.5	−14.0
André Geraldes Defender	90	0	0	–	30.3	−10.1
Rafael Brito Midfielder	2	0	0	–	3.8	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nodar Lominadze Midfielder	45	1	0	0.52	61.2	+11.5
Ferro Defender	90	0	0	–	50.1	−3.0
João Carvalho Midfielder	90	1	1	0.32	47.0	+0.2
Felix Bacher Defender	90	0	0	0.15	46.3	−3.2
Joel Robles Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	45.2	−1.7
Jordan Holsgrove Midfielder	90	0	0	–	41.8	−12.2
Fabrício Garcia Forward	45	0	0	0.05	41.6	–
André Lacximicant Forward	45	0	0	0.06	40.1	–
Yanis Begraoui Forward	45	0	0	–	38.6	−4.0
Patrick de Paula Midfielder	63	0	0	0.02	38.4	−5.1
Rafik Guitane Midfielder	27	0	0	–	37.2	–
Alejandro Marqués Forward	45	0	0	–	37.0	–
Tiago Parente Defender	39	0	0	–	35.9	–
Kévin Boma Defender	90	0	0	–	35.8	−10.4
Pedro Amaral Defender	51	0	0	–	30.6	−11.2
Pedro Carvalho Defender	45	0	0	–	17.8	−21.4