VriendenLoterij Eredivisie 25/26 · 26 Oct 2025

FC Twente 2–3 AFC Ajax

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 21% · Chances everywhere: 3.7 xG · Standout: Davy Klaassen scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Sondre Ørjasæter

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.3 – 0.7
Actual xG: 2.7 – 1.0
Goals: 2 – 3

Footybot made FC Twente favourites at 50%.

AFC Ajax won although FC Twente made the better chances (2.7 xG to 1.0): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Mika Godts, 71.0 in 89′.

Well above their usual level: Mika Godts +15.9, Kenneth Taylor +9.7.

Well below it: Owen Wijndal −15.6, Lars Unnerstall −13.4, Robin Pröpper −11.6.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

FC Twente

18 Oct 2025	D 3–3	at NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie
5 Oct 2025	W 2–1	v Heracles Almelo Eredivisie
26 Sep 2025	W 3–2	v Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
19 Sep 2025	W 5–1	at Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
13 Sep 2025	D 2–2	v NAC Breda Eredivisie

AFC Ajax

22 Oct 2025	L 1–5	at Chelsea Champions League
18 Oct 2025	L 0–2	v AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie
4 Oct 2025	D 3–3	at Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
30 Sep 2025	L 0–4	at Olympique de Marseille Champions League
27 Sep 2025	W 2–1	v NAC Breda Eredivisie

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

FC Twente

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Marko Pjaca Forward	60	0	0	0.03	69.2	–
Bas Kuipers Defender	30	0	0	–	55.4	–
Sondre Ørjasæter Midfielder	81	0	0	0.14	54.8	+2.4
Bart van Rooij Defender	90	0	0	–	54.2	−2.3
Ricky van Wolfswinkel Forward	90	1	0	0.99	54.1	−3.4
Kristian Hlynsson Midfielder	90	1	0	0.76	53.7	−4.8
Robin Pröpper Defender	90	0	0	–	52.6	−11.6
Ramiz Zerrouki Midfielder	90	0	0	0.10	51.0	−5.8
Thomas Van den Belt Midfielder	77	0	0	0.43	50.3	−9.5
Mats Rots Defender	60	0	0	0.25	49.1	−9.2
Ruud Nijstad Defender	81	0	1	0.05	46.9	–
Naci Ünüvar Forward	9	0	0	–	43.8	–
Daan Rots Midfielder	30	0	0	–	38.0	–
Sam Lammers Forward	9	0	0	–	37.3	–
Lars Unnerstall Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	36.6	−13.4
Arno Verschueren Midfielder	13	0	0	–	29.1	–

AFC Ajax

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Davy Klaassen Midfielder	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Mika Godts Forward	89	1	1	0.40	71.0	+15.9
Kenneth Taylor Midfielder	90	0	1	0.08	69.8	+9.7
Raúl Moro Midfielder	73	0	1	–	59.7	–
Wout Weghorst Forward	90	1	0	0.36	57.5	+1.6
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen Forward	17	0	0	–	54.3	–
Oscar Gloukh Midfielder	90	1	0	0.08	53.3	−2.2
Josip Šutalo Defender	90	0	0	–	52.2	−4.3
Lucas Rosa Defender	90	0	0	–	50.2	−3.8
Youri Baas Defender	90	0	0	–	48.5	−9.2
Remko Pasveer Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.4	–
Youri Regeer Midfielder	45	0	0	0.03	46.9	–
Ko Itakura Defender	45	0	0	0.04	45.0	−10.8
James McConnell Midfielder	45	0	0	–	44.9	–
Owen Wijndal Defender	45	0	0	–	43.9	−15.6