Stoke City 1–0 Birmingham City
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.1 – 1.7
- Actual xG
- 0.5 – 0.5
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot made Birmingham City favourites at 50%.
Stoke City won a close one on the chances: 0.5 xG to 0.5.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Bosun Lawal, 55.0 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Bosun Lawal +16.6, Million Manhoef +16.3.
Well below it: Ethan Laird −15.9, Alex Cochrane −12.6, Tomáš Rigo −12.6.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Stoke City
| 30 Aug 2025 | L 0–1 | v West Bromwich Albion |
| 26 Aug 2025 | L 0–3 | v Bradford City |
| 23 Aug 2025 | W 2–1 | at Southampton |
| 16 Aug 2025 | W 3–0 | at Sheffield Wednesday |
| 12 Aug 2025 | D 0–0 | v Walsall |
Birmingham City
| 29 Aug 2025 | L 0–2 | at Leicester City |
| 26 Aug 2025 | L 0–1 | v Port Vale |
| 23 Aug 2025 | W 1–0 | v Oxford United |
| 16 Aug 2025 | W 2–1 | at Blackburn Rovers |
| 13 Aug 2025 | W 2–1 | v Sheffield United |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Stoke City
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bosun Lawal | 90 | 55.0 | +16.6 |
| Million Manhoef | 89 | 54.6 | +16.3 |
| Viktor Johansson | 90 | 48.6 | −3.6 |
| Jun-Ho Bae | 19 | 46.0 | – |
| Ben Pearson | 82 | 42.6 | – |
| Divin Mubama | 90 | 42.0 | −2.0 |
| Ben Wilmot | 90 | 40.3 | −4.7 |
| Aaron Cresswell | 89 | 38.2 | +2.2 |
| Lewis Baker | 90 | 35.6 | −5.2 |
| Tatsuki Seko | 8 | 34.8 | – |
| Tomáš Rigo | 71 | 33.2 | −12.6 |
| Eric Bocat | 1 | 31.6 | – |
| Sorba Thomas | 90 | 28.7 | −8.0 |
| Junior Tchamadeu | 90 | 25.1 | −4.8 |
| Lamine Cissé | 1 | 0.0 | – |
Birmingham City
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Leonard | 12 | 55.6 | – |
| Ryan Allsop | 90 | 51.5 | +6.8 |
| Christoph Klarer | 90 | 48.2 | −7.1 |
| Patrick Roberts | 60 | 43.0 | – |
| Phil Neumann | 84 | 40.7 | +1.7 |
| Bright Osayi-Samuel | 31 | 39.3 | – |
| Seung Ho Paik | 90 | 38.9 | −5.6 |
| Marvin Ducksch | 31 | 37.2 | – |
| Tommy Doyle | 59 | 35.9 | – |
| Tomoki Iwata | 90 | 35.7 | −1.8 |
| Kyogo Furuhashi | 11 | 35.6 | – |
| Jay Stansfield | 79 | 33.3 | −7.8 |
| Demarai Gray | 90 | 32.9 | −9.7 |
| Lewis Koumas | 30 | 32.6 | – |
| Ethan Laird | 59 | 31.7 | −15.9 |
| Alex Cochrane | 90 | 20.3 | −12.6 |