Championship 25/26 · 4 Oct 2025

Watford 2–1 Oxford United

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Watford favourites at 49%.

Watford won and made the better chances: 2.6 xG to 1.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jamie Cumming, 68.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Jamie Cumming +21.3, Jeremy Ngakia +16.0, Michał Helik +15.4.

Well below it: Imrân Louza −12.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Oct 2025	D 2–2	at Portsmouth Championship
27 Sep 2025	W 2–1	v Hull City Championship
22 Sep 2025	L 0–1	at Millwall Championship
13 Sep 2025	L 0–1	v Blackburn Rovers Championship
30 Aug 2025	D 2–2	v Southampton Championship

1 Oct 2025	D 0–0	at Queens Park Rangers Championship
27 Sep 2025	L 0–1	v Sheffield United Championship
21 Sep 2025	W 3–1	at Bristol City Championship
13 Sep 2025	D 2–2	v Leicester City Championship
30 Aug 2025	D 2–2	v Coventry City Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Egil Selvik Goalkeeper	90	0	–	64.4	+14.5
Jeremy Ngakia Defender	90	2	0.79	54.2	+16.0
James Abankwah Defender	90	0	–	50.6	+8.1
Luca Kjerrumgaard Forward	58	0	0.13	50.3	+7.9
Max Alleyne Defender	90	0	–	48.5	+5.1
Kévin Keben Biakolo Defender	90	0	–	45.3	−1.1
Rocco Vata Forward	70	0	0.50	44.7	−3.7
Nampalys Mendy Midfielder	90	0	0.06	44.3	+5.8
Nestory Irankunda Forward	87	0	0.45	42.1	−1.7
Vivaldo Forward	32	0	0.38	42.1	–
Imrân Louza Midfielder	70	0	0.20	41.4	−12.4
Kwadwo Baah Forward	9	0	0.08	39.4	–
Edo Kayembe Midfielder	20	0	0.04	39.1	–
Moussa Sissoko Midfielder	20	0	–	34.4	–
Caleb Wiley Defender	70	0	–	32.7	–
Jeremy Petris Defender	20	0	–	23.6	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Jack Currie Defender	17	–	70.9	–
Jamie Cumming Goalkeeper	90	–	68.6	+21.3
Michał Helik Defender	90	0.15	61.8	+15.4
Tom Bradshaw Forward	11	0.14	57.5	–
Stanley Mills Midfielder	57	0.07	52.1	–
Brian De Keersmaecker Midfielder	90	0.10	49.8	+2.3
Siriki Dembélé Midfielder	85	0.05	44.2	+7.0
Sam Long Defender	90	–	42.8	+1.1
Will Vaulks Midfielder	33	–	42.6	–
Brodie Spencer Defender	90	–	41.1	+8.6
Greg Leigh Defender	73	0.11	40.1	+6.0
Mark Harris Forward	11	0.04	39.8	–
Nik Prelec Forward	85	0.06	39.3	−2.6
Will Lankshear Forward	57	0.05	38.7	−6.2
Przemysław Płacheta Midfielder	33	0.49	37.1	–
Cameron Brannagan Midfielder	90	0.11	35.4	−3.9