Championship 25/26 · 25 Oct 2025

Bristol City 1–0 Birmingham City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Bristol City favourites at 45%.

Bristol City won a close one on the chances: 0.3 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Tomoki Iwata, 54.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Tomoki Iwata +14.3, Patrick Roberts +10.1, Keshi Anderson +8.5.

Well below it: James Beadle −14.7, Rob Dickie −13.5, Christoph Klarer −13.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

21 Oct 2025	W 3–1	v Southampton Championship
18 Oct 2025	W 1–0	at Norwich City Championship
4 Oct 2025	L 1–2	v Queens Park Rangers Championship
30 Sep 2025	D 1–1	v Ipswich Town Championship
27 Sep 2025	D 0–0	at Preston North End Championship

21 Oct 2025	W 1–0	at Preston North End Championship
18 Oct 2025	L 2–3	v Hull City Championship
3 Oct 2025	D 1–1	at Wrexham Championship
30 Sep 2025	D 2–2	v Sheffield Wednesday Championship
27 Sep 2025	L 0–3	at Coventry City Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Sinclair Armstrong Forward	74	1	0	0.20	52.3	–
Radek Vitek Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	52.2	+2.4
Olly Thomas Forward	1	0	0	–	48.5	–
Robert Atkinson Defender	90	0	1	–	46.9	+0.6
George Tanner Defender	90	0	0	–	44.5	+7.8
Zak Vyner Defender	90	0	0	–	43.5	+8.5
Anis Mehmeti Forward	85	0	0	–	41.7	−1.3
Yu Hirakawa Forward	13	0	0	–	41.4	–
Neto Borges Defender	85	0	0	0.01	37.7	−10.5
Adam Randell Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	36.9	−1.1
Ross McCrorie Midfielder	45	0	0	–	35.7	−7.2
Rob Dickie Defender	90	0	0	0.01	35.6	−13.5
Scott Twine Forward	89	0	0	0.03	35.3	−8.2
Haydon Roberts Defender	13	0	0	–	33.7	–
Fally Mayulu Forward	16	0	0	–	33.2	–
Mark Sykes Midfielder	45	0	0	–	31.1	−5.3

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Tomoki Iwata Midfielder	90	–	54.5	+14.3
Seung Ho Paik Midfielder	90	0.07	48.4	+5.3
Phil Neumann Defender	84	–	48.2	+6.7
Patrick Roberts Midfielder	61	0.09	46.3	+10.1
Keshi Anderson Midfielder	61	–	45.8	+8.5
Lewis Koumas Forward	29	–	45.2	–
Tommy Doyle Midfielder	75	0.04	44.7	+3.6
Marvin Ducksch Forward	14	–	44.2	–
Kyogo Furuhashi Forward	28	0.25	43.2	–
James Beadle Goalkeeper	90	–	43.1	−14.7
Christoph Klarer Defender	90	0.01	42.5	−13.2
Marc Leonard Midfielder	90	0.09	39.8	+6.1
Jay Stansfield Midfielder	62	0.06	37.7	−1.6
Demarai Gray Midfielder	29	0.06	34.3	–
Lyndon Dykes Forward	15	–	33.6	–
Alex Cochrane Defender	90	–	25.2	−8.6