Premiership 25/26 · 29 Oct 2025

St. Mirren 2–2 Heart of Midlothian

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made St. Mirren favourites at 40%.

Heart of Midlothian deserved more from the draw, creating 1.6 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Stuart Findlay, 67.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Miguel Freckleton +18.4, Stephen Kingsley +17.5, Stuart Findlay +13.5.

Well below it: Harry Milne −11.8, Keanu Baccus −10.5, Alexander Schwolow −8.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

25 Oct 2025	L 1–3	at Dundee United Scottish Premiership
18 Oct 2025	L 0–1	v Aberdeen Scottish Premiership
4 Oct 2025	L 0–2	at Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership
27 Sep 2025	W 1–0	v Dundee FC Scottish Premiership
13 Sep 2025	W 2–1	at Falkirk FC Scottish Premiership

26 Oct 2025	W 3–1	v Celtic Scottish Premiership
18 Oct 2025	W 3–0	at Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership
4 Oct 2025	W 1–0	v Hibernian Scottish Premiership
27 Sep 2025	W 3–0	v Falkirk FC Scottish Premiership
13 Sep 2025	W 2–0	at Rangers Scottish Premiership

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Miguel Freckleton Defender	90	1	0	0.46	58.4	+18.4
Shamal George Goalkeeper	90	0	1	–	57.2	+3.3
Dan N'Lundulu Forward	75	1	0	0.05	54.6	+8.0
Declan John Midfielder	90	0	0	–	48.5	+5.1
Killian Phillips Midfielder	90	0	0	0.13	45.6	+5.5
Mikael Mandron Forward	90	0	0	0.15	45.4	−0.0
Mark O'Hara Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	43.1	+2.7
Richard King Defender	90	0	0	–	42.1	+3.8
Conor McMenamin Midfielder	85	0	0	0.03	40.9	–
Jonah Ayunga Forward	15	0	0	0.12	39.6	–
Marcus Fraser Defender	90	0	0	–	37.7	−0.6
Liam Donnelly Midfielder	15	0	0	–	32.6	–
Tunmise Sobowale Defender	11	0	0	–	30.6	–
Keanu Baccus Midfielder	75	0	0	–	23.5	−10.5

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Stuart Findlay Defender	90	0	0.14	67.4	+13.5
Craig Halkett Defender	90	0	–	63.0	+4.5
Lawrence Shankland Forward	90	1	0.53	54.6	+8.4
Pierre Landry Kaboré Forward	24	0	0.19	51.8	–
Stephen Kingsley Defender	66	0	0.02	51.7	+17.5
Oisin McEntee Defender	90	0	–	49.1	+9.9
Alexander Schwolow Goalkeeper	90	0	–	48.4	−8.7
Cláudio Braga Forward	85	1	0.35	46.7	−1.5
Beni Baningime Midfielder	90	0	0.18	46.1	+3.0
Alexandros Kyziridis Midfielder	90	0	0.13	45.9	−2.2
Cameron Devlin Midfielder	90	0	–	45.2	−4.0
Tomas Magnusson Midfielder	11	0	–	44.4	–
Harry Milne Defender	90	0	0.03	34.8	−11.8