Premiership 25/26 · 20 Jan 2026

Livingston 1–1 St. Mirren

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Livingston 38%, the draw 27%, St. Mirren 34%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.5 xG to 1.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jérôme Prior, 57.3 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Jérôme Prior +9.5, Lewis Smith +8.7.

Well below it: Scott Arfield −11.1, Mikael Mandron −10.9, Marcus Fraser −10.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

10 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026	L 0–1	at Heart of Midlothian Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025	L 1–3	v Dundee United Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025	L 2–4	v Celtic Scottish Premiership
20 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at St. Mirren Scottish Premiership

14 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at Heart of Midlothian Scottish Premiership
10 Jan 2026	L 0–2	v Falkirk FC Scottish Premiership
3 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at Motherwell Scottish Premiership
30 Dec 2025	L 1–2	at Rangers Scottish Premiership
27 Dec 2025	D 0–0	v Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership

20 Dec 2025	St. Mirren 1–0 Livingston Scottish Premiership

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jérôme Prior Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	57.3	+9.5
Joshua Zimmerman Midfielder	14	0	0	–	45.0	–
Alex Matthias Tamm Forward	8	0	0	–	44.5	–
Lewis Smith Forward	76	0	0	0.11	44.5	+8.7
Robbie Muirhead Forward	82	1	0	0.86	44.0	+1.2
Danny Finlayson Defender	90	0	0	–	41.9	−4.4
Ryan McGowan Defender	90	0	0	0.13	38.2	−6.6
Mahamadou Susoho Midfielder	90	0	0	–	37.1	−3.6
Scott Pittman Midfielder	45	0	0	–	34.3	−2.2
Connor McLennan Forward	83	0	0	0.24	34.2	−6.8
Cristian Montaño Defender	45	0	0	–	32.0	−1.4
Macaulay Tait Midfielder	90	0	0	–	30.8	−5.7
Samson Lawal Midfielder	45	0	0	0.03	30.5	−7.9
Scott Arfield Midfielder	45	0	0	0.11	30.4	−11.1
Joshua Brenet Defender	90	0	1	–	26.2	−8.1
Brooklyn Kabongolo Defender	12	0	0	–	25.9	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Shamal George Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	51.2	+0.3
Scott Tanser Defender	26	0	1	–	46.2	–
Tunmise Sobowale Defender	11	0	0	–	45.6	–
Alexander Gogić Defender	90	1	0	0.24	41.8	+2.3
Conor McMenamin Midfielder	64	0	0	0.21	38.3	+3.0
Declan John Midfielder	79	0	0	–	37.8	−4.6
Jake Young Forward	27	0	0	0.08	36.2	–
Miguel Freckleton Defender	90	0	0	0.10	34.9	−8.6
Killian Phillips Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	34.7	−2.1
Mikael Mandron Forward	63	0	0	0.55	32.8	−10.9
Dan N'Lundulu Forward	45	0	0	–	31.6	−10.4
Richard King Defender	90	0	0	–	28.9	−6.9
Jayden Richardson Midfielder	45	0	0	–	28.8	−10.2
Roland Idowu Midfielder	63	0	0	0.09	26.3	−7.9
Marcus Fraser Defender	90	0	0	–	26.0	−10.8
Evan Mooney Forward	27	0	0	0.07	16.6	–