FOOTYBOT
Matchday

UEFA Europa League 25/26, Playoff round · 19 Feb 2026

PAOK 1–2 Celta Vigo

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.8 – 1.1
Actual xG
0.6 – 1.2
Goals
1 – 2

Footybot made PAOK favourites at 54%.

Celta Vigo won and made the better chances: 1.2 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Iago Aspas, 66.3 in 66′.

Well above their usual level: Iago Aspas +13.9, Carl Starfelt +8.3.

Well below it: Andrija Živković −15.7, Alessandro Vogliacco −15.2, Borja Iglesias −13.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

PAOK

29 Jan 2026L 2–4at Olympique Lyonnais Europa League
22 Jan 2026W 2–0v Real Betis Europa League
11 Dec 2025D 3–3at Ludogorets Europa League
27 Nov 2025D 1–1v SK Brann Europa League
6 Nov 2025W 4–0v BSC Young Boys Europa League

Celta Vigo

14 Feb 2026D 2–2at Espanyol LaLiga
6 Feb 2026L 1–2v Osasuna LaLiga
1 Feb 2026D 0–0at Getafe LaLiga
29 Jan 2026D 1–1at FK Crvena zvezda Europa League
25 Jan 2026L 1–3at Real Sociedad LaLiga

Head to head

2 Oct 2025Celta Vigo 3–1 PAOK Europa League

PAOK

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Antonis Tsiftsis Goalkeeper9000–56.4+7.5
Alexander Jeremejeff Forward90100.5554.4–
Taison Midfielder9000–47.6+4.0
Magomed Ozdoev Midfielder9000–45.0+1.3
Dejan Lovren Defender9000–44.5–
Giannis Michailidis Defender2300–44.1–
Mady Camara Midfielder6700–43.7–
Greg Taylor Defender6700–42.4–
Christos Zafeiris Midfielder9000–42.3−4.3
Jonjoe Kenny Defender9000–41.0−2.2
Andrija Živković Midfielder90010.0539.9−15.7
Alessandro Vogliacco Defender6700–36.3−15.2
Dimitrios Chatsidis Midfielder2300–34.7–
Rahman Baba Defender2300–30.0–

Celta Vigo

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Iago Aspas Forward66110.2366.3+13.9
Williot Swedberg Forward66100.6659.1+7.2
Carl Starfelt Defender9000–59.1+8.3
Óscar Mingueza Midfielder61000.0552.3+6.0
Miguel Román Midfielder86010.0151.9+2.9
Hugo Álvarez Midfielder24000.1350.8–
Marcos Alonso Defender9000–49.2+1.3
Sergio Carreira Midfielder9000–48.5+0.5
Javi Rodríguez Defender9000–48.2+5.8
Fer López Midfielder24000.1248.1–
Ilaix Moriba Midfielder9000–46.2+4.1
Javier Rueda Midfielder2900–45.3–
Ionuț Radu Goalkeeper9000–42.1−5.2
Matías Vecino Midfielder1000–41.0–
Borja Iglesias Forward6100–37.7−13.8
Ferrán Jutglà Forward2900–35.1–